Adtran Inc Stock Analysis

ADTN Stock  USD 8.39  0.18  2.10%   
ADTRAN Inc is undervalued with Real Value of 9.46 and Target Price of 10.0. The main objective of ADTRAN stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what ADTRAN Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of ADTRAN's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The ADTRAN stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. ADTRAN is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. ADTRAN Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ADTRAN Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

ADTRAN Stock Analysis Notes

About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ADTRAN was presently reported as 2.71. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 405.0. ADTRAN Inc recorded a loss per share of 6.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of August 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of December 2003. ADTRAN Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides end-to-end fiber networking solutions for communications service provider, enterprises, and government customers in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama. Adtran Holdings operates under Communication Equipment classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1335 people. For more info on ADTRAN Inc please contact Thomas Stanton at 256 963 8000 or go to https://www.adtran.com.

ADTRAN Quarterly Total Revenue

227.7 Million

ADTRAN Inc Investment Alerts

ADTRAN Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (267.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 327.26 M.
ADTRAN Inc currently holds about 111.9 M in cash with (45.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.53.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 124641 shares by Ulrich Dopfer of ADTRAN at 19.08 subject to Rule 16b-3

ADTRAN Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by ADTRAN to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
20th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
20th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

ADTRAN Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact ADTRAN's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-11-06
2024-09-30-0.04-0.05-0.0125 
2002-04-15
2002-03-310.050.060.0120 
2002-01-14
2001-12-310.070.080.0114 
View All Earnings Estimates

ADTRAN Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

ADTRAN's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates ADTRAN's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of ADTRAN's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect ADTRAN's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

ADTRAN Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Westerly Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
M
Tieton Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
962.4 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
894.6 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
881 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
865.9 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
819.5 K
Kovack Advisors Inc2024-09-30
778.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
6.6 M
Note, although ADTRAN's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ADTRAN Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 665.38 M.

ADTRAN Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.57) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.08) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.08.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.27)(0.25)
Return On Capital Employed(0.11)(0.11)
Return On Assets(0.16)(0.15)
Return On Equity(0.45)(0.43)

Management Efficiency

ADTRAN Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0465) % which means that it has lost $0.0465 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5758) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. ADTRAN's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ADTRAN manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 28th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.25. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.11. At this time, ADTRAN's Net Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of November 2024, Intangible Assets is likely to grow to about 344.4 M, while Deferred Long Term Asset Charges is likely to drop about 8.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 13.33  14.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.64  4.41 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(7.44)(7.07)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.97  0.92 
Enterprise Value Multiple(7.44)(7.07)
Price Fair Value 0.97  0.92 
Enterprise ValueBB
Understanding the operational decisions made by ADTRAN management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin
(0.08)
Profit Margin
(0.57)
Beta
1.2
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.58)

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, ADTRAN shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1699, and Mean Deviation of 2.3. ADTRAN Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

ADTRAN Inc Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. ADTRAN middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for ADTRAN Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

ADTRAN Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific ADTRAN insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on ADTRAN's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases ADTRAN insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

ADTRAN Outstanding Bonds

ADTRAN issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ADTRAN Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ADTRAN bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ADTRAN Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

ADTRAN Predictive Daily Indicators

ADTRAN intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ADTRAN stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

ADTRAN Corporate Filings

F4
19th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
18th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
4th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F4
15th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
30th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

ADTRAN Forecast Models

ADTRAN's time-series forecasting models are one of many ADTRAN's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ADTRAN's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About ADTRAN Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how ADTRAN prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling ADTRAN shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as ADTRAN. By using and applying ADTRAN Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying ADTRAN entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.20)(0.19)
Operating Profit Margin(0.14)(0.13)
Net Loss(0.23)(0.22)
Gross Profit Margin 0.29  0.55 

Current ADTRAN Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. ADTRAN analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ADTRAN analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
10.0Strong Buy6Odds
ADTRAN Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most ADTRAN analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ADTRAN stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ADTRAN Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ADTRAN conference calls.
ADTRAN Analyst Advice Details

ADTRAN Stock Analysis Indicators

ADTRAN Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how ADTRAN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading ADTRAN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying ADTRAN stock analysis, traders can identify ADTRAN position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow108.6 M
Long Term Debt195 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity593.8 M
Tax Provision-93.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.6
Property Plant And Equipment Net160.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments87.2 M
Cash87.2 M
Accounts Payable162.9 M
Net Debt139.3 M
50 Day M A6.6008
Total Current Liabilities279.5 M
Other Operating Expenses1.4 B
Non Current Assets Total945.7 M
Forward Price Earnings50.5051
Non Currrent Assets Other50.2 M
Stock Based Compensation16 M
When determining whether ADTRAN Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ADTRAN's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Adtran Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Adtran Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ADTRAN Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADTRAN. If investors know ADTRAN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADTRAN listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Earnings Share
(6.51)
Revenue Per Share
11.491
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of ADTRAN Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADTRAN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADTRAN's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADTRAN's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADTRAN's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADTRAN's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ADTRAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADTRAN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADTRAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.