Advance Auto Parts Stock Analysis

AAP Stock  USD 37.46  0.18  0.48%   
Advance Auto Parts is overvalued with Real Value of 33.25 and Target Price of 43.71. The main objective of Advance Auto stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Advance Auto Parts is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Advance Auto's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Advance Auto stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Advance Auto is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Advance Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Advance Auto Parts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Advance Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Advance Auto Parts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. The entity recorded a loss per share of 9.84. The firm last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2025. Advance Auto had 3:2 split on the 26th of September 2005. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina. Advance Auto operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 41000 people. For more info on Advance Auto Parts please contact Thomas Greco at 540 362 4911 or go to https://shop.advanceautoparts.com.

Advance Auto Quarterly Total Revenue

2 Billion

Advance Auto Parts Investment Alerts

Advance Auto Parts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Advance Auto Parts has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.09 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (586.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.84 B.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Advance Auto Parts Inc Shares Gap Down to 37.46 on Mar 21

Advance Auto Parts Upcoming and Recent Events

27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
29th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Advance Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Advance Auto's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2004-02-18
2003-12-310.270.30.0311 
2003-08-07
2003-06-300.350.40.0514 
2010-02-17
2009-12-310.460.39-0.0715 
View All Earnings Estimates

Advance Auto Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Advance Auto's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Advance Auto's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Advance Auto's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Advance Auto's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Advance Auto Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Advance Auto stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Macroaxis Index Idea
Macroaxis Index
Macroaxis power theme of selected equities with solid fundamentals
Retail Idea
Retail
USA Equities from Retail industry as classified by Fama & French

Advance Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Royce & Associates, Lp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-12-31
1.4 M
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-12-31
1.3 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
1.3 M
Estuary Capital Management, Lp2024-12-31
955.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
952.1 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
938.2 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
804.8 K
Legion Partners Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
800.8 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
7.4 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-12-31
6.7 M
Note, although Advance Auto's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Advance Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 2.24 B.

Advance Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.04) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (0.04) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.20 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.13 

Management Efficiency

At this time, Advance Auto's Return On Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/24/2025, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.20, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.13. As of 03/24/2025, Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to grow to about 4.2 B, while Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 6.3 B. Advance Auto's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Advance Auto manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 43.07  45.22 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 16.37  10.13 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 13.05  10.75 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.41  4.72 
Enterprise Value Multiple 13.05  10.75 
Price Fair Value 3.41  4.72 
Enterprise Value1.6 B1.5 B
Evaluating the management effectiveness of Advance Auto allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The Advance Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0267
Operating Margin
(0.04)
Profit Margin
(0.04)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0267
Beta
1.293

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of March, Advance Auto shows the Mean Deviation of 2.18, standard deviation of 3.36, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04). Advance Auto Parts technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Advance Auto Parts Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Advance Auto middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Advance Auto Parts. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Advance Auto Parts Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Advance Auto insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Advance Auto's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Advance Auto insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Advance Auto Outstanding Bonds

Advance Auto issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Advance Auto Parts uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Advance bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Advance Auto Parts has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Advance Auto Predictive Daily Indicators

Advance Auto intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Advance Auto stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Advance Auto Corporate Filings

21st of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
20th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
18th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
10th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
4th of March 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F3
27th of February 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify

Advance Auto Forecast Models

Advance Auto's time-series forecasting models are one of many Advance Auto's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Advance Auto's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Advance Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Advance Auto prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Advance shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Advance Auto. By using and applying Advance Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Advance entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.44  0.36 

Current Advance Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Advance analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Advance analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
43.71Buy29Odds
Advance Auto Parts current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Advance analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Advance stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Advance Auto Parts, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Advance conference calls.
Advance Analyst Advice Details

Advance Stock Analysis Indicators

Advance Auto Parts stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Advance Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Advance Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Advance Auto stock analysis, traders can identify Advance Auto position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow503.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity2.2 B
Capital Lease Obligations1.9 B
Property Plant And Equipment Net3.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B
Cash1.9 B
50 Day M A43.056
Net Interest Income-81 M
Total Current Liabilities4.7 B
Forward Price Earnings25
Investments1.4 B
Interest Expense81 M
Stock Based Compensation42.2 M
Long Term Debt1.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.9 M
Tax Provision-181.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.432
Accounts Payable3.4 B
Net Debt1.8 B
Other Operating Expenses9.8 B
Non Current Assets Total4.7 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity10.8 B
Non Currrent Assets Other73.7 M

Additional Tools for Advance Stock Analysis

When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.