Advance Auto Earnings Estimate

AAP Stock

USD 37.59 0.55 1.44%

The next projected EPS of Advance Auto is estimated to be -0.6131 with future projections ranging from a low of -1.01 to a high of 0.59. Advance Auto's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -9.84. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Advance Auto Parts is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.

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Advance Auto is projected to generate -0.6131 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2025. Advance Auto earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Advance Auto Parts EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Advance Auto's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Advance Auto, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Advance Auto's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Advance Auto's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. As of 03/17/2025, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.07, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 3.3 B.

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Advance Auto Parts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Advance Auto Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Advance Auto's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Advance Auto is estimated to be -0.6131 with the future projection ranging from a low of -1.01 to a high of 0.59. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Advance Auto Parts is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.

Last Reported EPS

-1.18

-1.01

Lowest

Expected EPS

-0.6131

0.59

Highest

Advance Auto Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Advance Auto's value are higher than the current market price of the Advance Auto stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Advance Auto is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Advance Auto's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.

Number of Analysts	Historical Accuracy	Last Reported EPS		Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2025	Current EPS (TTM)
29	69.14%	-1.18		-0.6131	-9.84

Advance Auto Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Advance Auto refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Advance Auto Parts predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Advance Auto, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Advance Auto Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Advance Auto, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Advance Auto should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Advance Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Advance Auto's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2025-02-26	2024-12-31	-1.2314	-1.18	0.0514	4
2024-11-14	2024-09-30	0.53	-0.04	-0.57	107
2024-08-22	2024-06-30	0.94	0.75	-0.19	20
2024-05-29	2024-03-31	0.68	0.67	-0.01	1
2024-02-28	2023-12-31	0.22	-0.59	-0.81	368
2023-11-15	2023-09-30	1.45	-0.82	-2.27	156
2023-08-23	2023-06-30	1.66	1.43	-0.23	13
2023-05-31	2023-03-31	2.57	0.72	-1.85	71
2023-02-28	2022-12-31	2.39	2.88	0.49	20
2022-11-15	2022-09-30	3.34	2.84	-0.5	14
2022-08-23	2022-06-30	3.76	3.74	-0.02	0
2022-05-23	2022-03-31	3.59	3.57	-0.02	0
2022-02-14	2021-12-31	1.97	2.07	0.1	5
2021-11-15	2021-09-30	2.87	3.21	0.34	11
2021-08-24	2021-06-30	3.04	3.4	0.36	11
2021-06-02	2021-03-31	3.08	3.34	0.26	8
2021-02-16	2020-12-31	1.97	1.87	-0.1	5
2020-11-10	2020-09-30	2.66	2.81	0.15	5
2020-08-18	2020-06-30	1.98	2.92	0.94	47
2020-05-19	2020-03-31	1.73	0.91	-0.82	47
2020-02-18	2019-12-31	1.35	1.64	0.29	21
2019-11-12	2019-09-30	2.05	2.1	0.05	2
2019-08-13	2019-06-30	2.21	2.0	-0.21	9
2019-05-22	2019-03-31	2.35	2.46	0.11	4
2019-02-19	2018-12-31	1.13	1.17	0.04	3
2018-11-13	2018-09-30	1.75	1.89	0.14	8
2018-08-14	2018-06-30	1.86	1.97	0.11	5
2018-05-22	2018-03-31	1.97	2.1	0.13	6
2018-02-21	2017-12-31	0.63	0.77	0.14	22
2017-11-14	2017-09-30	1.21	1.43	0.22	18
2017-08-15	2017-06-30	1.65	1.58	-0.07	4
2017-05-24	2017-03-31	2.17	1.6	-0.57	26
2017-02-21	2016-12-31	1.09	1.0	-0.09	8
2016-11-14	2016-09-30	1.7	1.73	0.03	1
2016-08-16	2016-06-30	2.12	1.9	-0.22	10
2016-05-19	2016-03-31	2.6	2.51	-0.09	3
2016-02-11	2015-12-31	1.2	1.22	0.02	1
2015-11-12	2015-09-30	2.09	1.95	-0.14	6
2015-08-13	2015-06-30	2.25	2.27	0.02	0
2015-05-21	2015-03-31	2.48	2.39	-0.09	3
2015-02-12	2014-12-31	1.48	1.54	0.06	4
2014-11-06	2014-09-30	1.87	1.89	0.02	1
2014-08-14	2014-06-30	2.01	2.08	0.07	3
2014-05-15	2014-03-31	2.16	2.25	0.09	4
2014-02-06	2013-12-31	0.79	0.67	-0.12	15
2013-10-31	2013-09-30	1.4	1.42	0.02	1
2013-08-08	2013-06-30	1.48	1.59	0.11	7
2013-05-23	2013-03-31	1.62	1.65	0.03	1
2013-02-07	2012-12-31	0.75	0.88	0.13	17
2012-11-08	2012-09-30	1.21	1.21	0.0	0
2012-08-09	2012-06-30	1.39	1.34	-0.05	3
2012-05-17	2012-03-31	1.81	1.79	-0.02	1
2012-02-16	2011-12-31	0.75	0.9	0.15	20
2011-11-09	2011-09-30	1.18	1.41	0.23	19
2011-08-10	2011-06-30	1.38	1.46	0.08	5
2011-05-18	2011-03-31	1.38	1.35	-0.03	2
2011-02-09	2010-12-31	0.54	0.57	0.03	5
2010-11-10	2010-09-30	0.93	1.03	0.1	10
2010-08-11	2010-06-30	1.03	1.16	0.13	12
2010-05-19	2010-03-31	1	1.19	0.19	19
2010-02-17	2009-12-31	0.46	0.39	-0.07	15
2009-11-11	2009-09-30	0.66	0.69	0.03	4
2009-08-12	2009-06-30	0.84	0.89	0.05	5
2009-05-20	2009-03-31	0.92	1.02	0.1	10
2009-02-18	2008-12-31	0.37	0.51	0.14	37
2008-10-29	2008-09-30	0.57	0.59	0.02	3
2008-08-06	2008-06-30	0.72	0.79	0.07	9
2008-05-15	2008-03-31	0.78	0.86	0.08	10
2008-02-13	2007-12-31	0.37	0.35	-0.02	5
2007-10-31	2007-09-30	0.58	0.61	0.03	5
2007-08-08	2007-06-30	0.66	0.64	-0.02	3
2007-05-16	2007-03-31	0.71	0.71	0.0	0
2007-02-15	2006-12-31	0.33	0.33	0.0	0
2006-11-02	2006-09-30	0.53	0.56	0.03	5
2006-08-10	2006-06-30	0.58	0.59	0.01	1
2006-05-18	2006-03-31	0.69	0.68	-0.01	1
2006-02-16	2005-12-31	0.36	0.36	0.0	0
2005-11-03	2005-09-30	0.55	0.55	0.0	0
2005-08-10	2005-06-30	0.58	0.6	0.02	3
2005-05-18	2005-03-31	0.58	0.63	0.05	8
2005-02-16	2004-12-31	0.3	0.31	0.01	3
2004-11-03	2004-09-30	0.45	0.45	0.0	0
2004-08-11	2004-06-30	0.46	0.47	0.01	2
2004-05-19	2004-03-31	0.44	0.45	0.01	2
2004-02-18	2003-12-31	0.27	0.3	0.03	11
2003-10-29	2003-09-30	0.41	0.41	0.0	0
2003-08-07	2003-06-30	0.35	0.4	0.05	14
2003-05-14	2003-03-31	0.25	0.33	0.08	32
2003-02-12	2002-12-31	0.14	0.14	0.0	0
2002-11-18	2002-09-30	0.29	0.31	0.02	6
2002-08-14	2002-06-30	0.24	0.26	0.02	8
2002-05-22	2002-03-31	0.18	0.18	0.0	0
2002-02-20	2001-12-31	0.01	0.01	0.0	0

About Advance Auto Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Advance Auto earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Advance Auto estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Advance Auto fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'

Please read more on our stock advisor page.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Retained Earnings	4.2 B	2.1 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity	5.3 B	2.7 B
Earnings Yield	0.05	0.04
Price Earnings Ratio	19.11	20.06
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio	(1.41)	(1.34)

Pair Trading with Advance Auto

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Advance Auto position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Advance Auto will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Advance Stock

0.81	RH	RH	Pair Corr
0.75	AEO	American Eagle Outfitters	Pair Corr
0.73	DKS	Dicks Sporting Goods	Pair Corr

Moving against Advance Stock

0.77	MPAA	Motorcar Parts	Pair Corr
0.73	LNW	Light Wonder	Pair Corr
0.61	NIU	Niu Technologies Earnings Call This Week	Pair Corr
0.57	MCD	McDonalds	Pair Corr
0.54	AZO	AutoZone	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Advance Auto could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Advance Auto when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Advance Auto - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Advance Auto Parts to buy it.

The correlation of Advance Auto is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Advance Auto moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Advance Auto Parts moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Advance Auto can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

Additional Tools for Advance Stock Analysis

When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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