Essential Utilities Stock Price Prediction
| WTRG Stock | USD 35.20 0.63 1.76% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9882 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1115 | Wall Street Target Price 44.5556 |
Using Essential Utilities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Essential Utilities from the perspective of Essential Utilities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Essential Utilities using Essential Utilities' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Essential using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Essential Utilities' stock price.
Essential Utilities Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Essential Utilities' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Essential. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Essential Utilities stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 38.1898 | Short Percent 0.0214 | Short Ratio 3.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.9 M | 50 Day MA 36.1294 |
Essential Utilities Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Essential Utilities' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Essential. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Essential can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Essential Utilities. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Essential Utilities' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Essential Utilities.
Essential Utilities Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Essential Utilities' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Essential Utilities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Essential Utilities' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Essential Utilities stock will not fluctuate a lot when Essential Utilities' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Essential Utilities to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Essential because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Essential Utilities after-hype prediction price | USD 35.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Essential contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Essential Utilities will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Essential Utilities trading at USD 35.2, that is roughly USD 0.0178 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Essential Utilities' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Essential Utilities options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Essential |
Essential Utilities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Essential Utilities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Essential Utilities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Essential Utilities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Essential Utilities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Essential Utilities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Essential Utilities' historical news coverage. Essential Utilities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.00 and 36.82, respectively. We have considered Essential Utilities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Essential Utilities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Essential Utilities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Essential Utilities Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Essential Utilities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Essential Utilities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Essential Utilities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.41 | 0.21 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.20 | 35.41 | 0.60 |
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Essential Utilities Hype Timeline
Essential Utilities is at this time traded for 35.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Essential is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 93.38%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Essential Utilities is about 445.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.24. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.05 B. Net Income was 498.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.16 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Essential Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Essential Utilities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Essential Utilities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Essential Utilities' future price movements. Getting to know how Essential Utilities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Essential Utilities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AWR | American States Water | (0.30) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.25 | (2.34) | 6.73 | |
| CWT | California Water Service | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.93 | (2.47) | 6.79 | |
| CWCO | Consolidated Water Co | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.47 | 0.07 | 2.38 | (2.01) | 9.79 | |
| SJW | SJW Group Common | 2.44 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.05 | (2.32) | 8.45 | |
| MSEX | Middlesex Water | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.08 | (2.92) | 7.83 | |
| YORW | The York Water | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.11 | (2.34) | 6.65 | |
| ARTNA | Artesian Resources | 0.72 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.02 | (3.16) | 6.25 | |
| AWK | American Water Works | 0.61 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.68 | (2.30) | 9.63 | |
| GWRS | Global Water Resources | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.38 | (3.04) | 6.79 |
Essential Utilities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Essential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Essential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Essential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Essential Utilities Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Essential Utilities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Essential Utilities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Essential Utilities based on analysis of Essential Utilities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Essential Utilities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Essential Utilities's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0231 | 0.0317 | 0.0365 | 0.0292 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.47 | 4.86 | 4.37 | 3.55 |
Story Coverage note for Essential Utilities
The number of cover stories for Essential Utilities depends on current market conditions and Essential Utilities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Essential Utilities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Essential Utilities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Essential Utilities Short Properties
Essential Utilities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Essential Utilities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Essential Utilities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Essential Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Essential Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 267.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Essential Stock analysis
When running Essential Utilities' price analysis, check to measure Essential Utilities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Essential Utilities is operating at the current time. Most of Essential Utilities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Essential Utilities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Essential Utilities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Essential Utilities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
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