California Water Service Stock Price Prediction
| CWT Stock | USD 51.19 0.23 0.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.725 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.75 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.375 | Wall Street Target Price 58 |
Using California Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of California Water Service from the perspective of California Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
California Water Service Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to California Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in California. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding California can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around California Water Service. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of California Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about California Water.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in California Water to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying California because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
California Water after-hype prediction price | USD 51.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of California Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
California Water After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of California Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in California Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of California Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
California Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting California Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on California Water's historical news coverage. California Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.00 and 52.58, respectively. We have considered California Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
California Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of California Water Service is based on 3 months time horizon.
California Water Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as California Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading California Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with California Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.29 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.19 | 51.29 | 0.20 |
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California Water Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November California Water Service is traded for 51.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. California is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 125.24%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on California Water is about 1382.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.18. The company reported the last year's revenue of 794.63 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 51.91 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 429.45 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out California Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.California Water Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to California Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict California Water's future price movements. Getting to know how California Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how California Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SJW | SJW Group Common | (0.86) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.94 | (2.65) | 6.24 | |
| ARTNA | Artesian Resources | 0.20 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.36 | (1.87) | 12.09 | |
| YORW | The York Water | (0.31) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.07 | (2.23) | 6.17 | |
| AWR | American States Water | 2.36 | 8 per month | 0.94 | (0.04) | 2.25 | (1.57) | 6.07 | |
| MSEX | Middlesex Water | (1.30) | 12 per month | 1.64 | (0.02) | 3.16 | (2.35) | 10.55 | |
| GWRS | Global Water Resources | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.54 | (0.01) | 2.72 | (2.36) | 8.02 | |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities | 0.48 | 8 per month | 1.11 | (0.07) | 1.88 | (1.70) | 6.96 | |
| AWK | American Water Works | (0.74) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.78 | (1.70) | 5.42 | |
| CWCO | Consolidated Water Co | (0.53) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.93 | (2.51) | 7.56 |
California Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine California price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for California using various technical indicators. When you analyze California charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About California Water Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of California Water stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as California Water Service, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of California Water based on analysis of California Water hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to California Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to California Water's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0128 | 0.0165 | 0.02 | 0.0345 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.69 | 3.89 | 3.72 | 3.9 |
Story Coverage note for California Water
The number of cover stories for California Water depends on current market conditions and California Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that California Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about California Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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California Water Short Properties
California Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when California Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of California Water Service often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential California Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. California Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.6 M |
Additional Tools for California Stock Analysis
When running California Water's price analysis, check to measure California Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy California Water is operating at the current time. Most of California Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of California Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move California Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of California Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.