ALTICE FRANCE S Price Prediction

02156LAE1   69.01  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength indicator of ALTICE's bond price is about 61. This usually implies that the bond is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling ALTICE, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ALTICE's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ALTICE FRANCE S, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ALTICE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ALTICE FRANCE S from the perspective of ALTICE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ALTICE to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ALTICE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ALTICE after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 69.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out ALTICE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.9559.4975.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.8069.3471.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.2071.9476.67
Details

ALTICE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ALTICE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ALTICE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of ALTICE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ALTICE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ALTICE's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ALTICE's historical news coverage. ALTICE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.47 and 71.55, respectively. We have considered ALTICE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
69.01
69.01
After-hype Price
71.55
Upside
ALTICE is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ALTICE FRANCE S is based on 3 months time horizon.

ALTICE Bond Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as ALTICE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ALTICE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ALTICE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.54
 0.00  
  0.06 
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.01
69.01
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ALTICE Hype Timeline

ALTICE FRANCE S is at this time traded for 69.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. ALTICE is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on ALTICE is about 206.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.07. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out ALTICE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ALTICE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ALTICE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ALTICE's future price movements. Getting to know how ALTICE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ALTICE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

ALTICE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ALTICE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ALTICE using various technical indicators. When you analyze ALTICE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ALTICE Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ALTICE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ALTICE FRANCE S, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ALTICE based on analysis of ALTICE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ALTICE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ALTICE's related companies.

Story Coverage note for ALTICE

The number of cover stories for ALTICE depends on current market conditions and ALTICE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ALTICE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ALTICE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in ALTICE Bond

ALTICE financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALTICE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALTICE with respect to the benefits of owning ALTICE security.