Highway Holdings Limited Stock Price Prediction
| HIHO Stock | USD 1.85 0.01 0.54% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Highway Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Highway Holdings Limited from the perspective of Highway Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Highway Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Highway because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Highway Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Highway |
Highway Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Highway Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Highway Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Highway Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Highway Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Highway Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Highway Holdings' historical news coverage. Highway Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.40 and 3.30, respectively. We have considered Highway Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Highway Holdings is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Highway Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Highway Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Highway Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Highway Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Highway Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.85 | 1.85 | 0.00 |
|
Highway Holdings Hype Timeline
Highway Holdings is currently traded for 1.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Highway is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Highway Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.85. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Highway Holdings recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Highway Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Highway Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Highway Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Highway Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Highway Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Highway Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNSO | Bonso Electronics International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DSWL | Deswell Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.58 | (3.04) | 6.97 | |
| CLWT | Euro Tech Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.36 | (4.58) | 9.76 | |
| CHNR | China Natural Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.97 | 0.05 | 10.94 | (9.52) | 31.13 | |
| ARTW | Arts Way Manufacturing Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.45 | 0.05 | 22.61 | (9.37) | 87.26 |
Highway Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Highway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Highway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Highway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Highway Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Highway Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Highway Holdings Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Highway Holdings based on analysis of Highway Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Highway Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Highway Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Highway Holdings
The number of cover stories for Highway Holdings depends on current market conditions and Highway Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Highway Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Highway Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Highway Holdings Short Properties
Highway Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Highway Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Highway Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Highway Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Highway Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.6 M |
Check out Highway Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Highway Holdings. If investors know Highway will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Highway Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Highway Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Highway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Highway Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Highway Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Highway Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Highway Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Highway Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Highway Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Highway Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.