Tactile Systems Technology Stock Price Prediction
| TCMD Stock | USD 13.29 0.40 2.92% |
Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.135 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.675 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.93 | Wall Street Target Price 21.5 |
Using Tactile Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tactile Systems Technology from the perspective of Tactile Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tactile Systems using Tactile Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tactile using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tactile Systems' stock price.
Tactile Systems Implied Volatility | 1.64 |
Tactile Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tactile Systems Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tactile Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tactile Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tactile Systems' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tactile Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tactile because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tactile Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 13.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tactile contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tactile Systems Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Tactile Systems trading at USD 13.29, that is roughly USD 0.0136 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tactile Systems' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tactile Systems Technology options at the current volatility level of 1.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Tactile |
Tactile Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tactile Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tactile Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tactile Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tactile Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tactile Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tactile Systems' historical news coverage. Tactile Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.97 and 15.61, respectively. We have considered Tactile Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tactile Systems is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tactile Systems Tech is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tactile Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tactile Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tactile Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tactile Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.31 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 7 Events / Month | 14 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.29 | 13.29 | 0.00 |
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Tactile Systems Hype Timeline
Tactile Systems Tech is at this time traded for 13.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Tactile is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tactile Systems is about 519.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.08. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tactile Systems Tech had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Tactile Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tactile Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tactile Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tactile Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Tactile Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tactile Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Tactile Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tactile price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tactile using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tactile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tactile Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tactile Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tactile Systems Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tactile Systems based on analysis of Tactile Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tactile Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tactile Systems's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0505 | 0.0449 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.4 | 1.33 |
Story Coverage note for Tactile Systems
The number of cover stories for Tactile Systems depends on current market conditions and Tactile Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tactile Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tactile Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tactile Systems Short Properties
Tactile Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tactile Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tactile Systems Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tactile Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tactile Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Tactile Stock analysis
When running Tactile Systems' price analysis, check to measure Tactile Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tactile Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Tactile Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tactile Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tactile Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tactile Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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