SG Fleet (Australia) Price Prediction
| SGF Stock | 3.41 0.01 0.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
86
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.28 | Wall Street Target Price 3.42 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.099 |
Using SG Fleet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SG Fleet Group from the perspective of SG Fleet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SG Fleet to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SGF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SG Fleet after-hype prediction price | AUD 3.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SGF |
SG Fleet After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SG Fleet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SG Fleet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SG Fleet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SG Fleet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SG Fleet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SG Fleet's historical news coverage. SG Fleet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.95 and 5.85, respectively. We have considered SG Fleet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SG Fleet is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SG Fleet Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
SG Fleet Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SG Fleet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SG Fleet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SG Fleet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 2.45 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.41 | 3.40 | 0.29 |
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SG Fleet Hype Timeline
SG Fleet Group is at this time traded for 3.41on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. SGF is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on SG Fleet is about 75384.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.41. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.97. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SG Fleet Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out SG Fleet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SG Fleet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SG Fleet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SG Fleet's future price movements. Getting to know how SG Fleet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SG Fleet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SXG | Southern Cross Gold | 0.03 | 3 per month | 3.88 | 0.04 | 8.65 | (8.42) | 28.65 | |
| MNB | Minbos Resources | (0) | 3 per month | 6.05 | 0.04 | 13.89 | (7.50) | 44.69 | |
| TOU | Tlou Energy | (0) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 12.50 | (14.81) | 34.63 | |
| ENR | Encounter Resources | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.88 | (5.71) | 28.44 | |
| EL8 | Elevate Uranium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.89 | (6.67) | 22.51 | |
| SPQ | Superior Resources | 0 | 3 per month | 5.63 | (0) | 16.67 | (14.29) | 34.29 | |
| RNU | Renascor Resources | (0) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 3.85 | (3.45) | 9.23 | |
| PEX | Peel Mining | 0.00 | 2 per month | 3.50 | 0.04 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 24.48 |
SG Fleet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SGF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SGF using various technical indicators. When you analyze SGF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SG Fleet Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SG Fleet stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SG Fleet Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SG Fleet based on analysis of SG Fleet hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SG Fleet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SG Fleet's related companies.
Story Coverage note for SG Fleet
The number of cover stories for SG Fleet depends on current market conditions and SG Fleet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SG Fleet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SG Fleet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SG Fleet Short Properties
SG Fleet's future price predictability will typically decrease when SG Fleet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SG Fleet Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SG Fleet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SG Fleet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 345 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 396.8 M |
Additional Tools for SGF Stock Analysis
When running SG Fleet's price analysis, check to measure SG Fleet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SG Fleet is operating at the current time. Most of SG Fleet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SG Fleet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SG Fleet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SG Fleet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.