Sky Metals (Australia) Price Prediction
| SKY Stock | 0.05 0 1.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.7 |
Using Sky Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sky Metals from the perspective of Sky Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sky Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sky because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sky Metals after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sky |
Sky Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sky Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sky Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sky Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sky Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sky Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sky Metals' historical news coverage. Sky Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 5.03, respectively. We have considered Sky Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sky Metals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sky Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sky Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sky Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sky Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sky Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.93 | 4.99 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.05 | 0.05 | 3.85 |
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Sky Metals Hype Timeline
Sky Metals is at this time traded for 0.05on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. Sky is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -3.85%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.93%. The volatility of related hype on Sky Metals is about 9356.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.10. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sky Metals was at this time reported as 0.03. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Sky Metals had 1:10 split on the 14th of June 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Sky Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sky Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sky Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sky Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Sky Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sky Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CBAPJ | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.34 | (0.20) | 0.73 | (0.59) | 2.02 | |
| ASG | Autosports Group | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.35 | (3.11) | 11.76 | |
| ALL | Aristocrat Leisure | 0.48 | 1 per month | 0.86 | 0.19 | 2.12 | (1.97) | 5.18 | |
| QBE | Qbe Insurance Group | (0.22) | 1 per month | 0.78 | 0.20 | 2.49 | (1.63) | 6.90 | |
| HMC | Home Consortium | 0.03 | 1 per month | 1.13 | 0.23 | 3.05 | (2.55) | 14.71 | |
| NABPH | National Australia Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.12 | (0.37) | 0.48 | (0.36) | 1.08 |
Sky Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sky price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sky using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sky charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sky Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sky Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sky Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sky Metals based on analysis of Sky Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sky Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sky Metals's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Sky Metals
The number of cover stories for Sky Metals depends on current market conditions and Sky Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sky Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sky Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sky Metals Short Properties
Sky Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sky Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sky Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sky Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sky Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 589.6 M |
Additional Tools for Sky Stock Analysis
When running Sky Metals' price analysis, check to measure Sky Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sky Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Sky Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sky Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sky Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sky Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.