Rev Group Stock Price Prediction
| REVG Stock | USD 30.08 0.07 0.23% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.592 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.29 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0225 | Wall Street Target Price 34.875 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.49 |
Using Rev hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rev Group from the perspective of Rev response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rev using Rev's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rev using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rev's stock price.
Rev Implied Volatility | 0.8 |
Rev's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rev Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rev's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rev stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rev's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rev to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rev because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Rev after-hype prediction price | USD 29.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rev contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rev Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.05% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Rev trading at USD 30.08, that is roughly USD 0.015 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rev's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rev Group options at the current volatility level of 0.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rev's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rev After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rev at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rev or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rev, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rev Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rev's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rev's historical news coverage. Rev's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.81 and 32.79, respectively. We have considered Rev's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rev is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rev Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rev Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rev is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rev backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rev, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.08 | 29.80 | 0.00 |
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Rev Hype Timeline
Rev Group is at this time traded for 30.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Rev is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rev is about 371.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.08. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Rev was at this time reported as 8.35. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. Rev Group last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Rev Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Rev Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rev's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rev's future price movements. Getting to know how Rev's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rev may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | (1.58) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.69 | (6.28) | 33.01 | |
| LMNR | Limoneira Co | (0.86) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.69 | (4.10) | 10.70 | |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | 1.12 | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.08 | 2.62 | (1.45) | 6.65 | |
| LCII | LCI Industries | 4.39 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.21 | (3.46) | 9.26 | |
| THR | Thermon Group Holdings | 0.94 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.60 | (3.32) | 9.97 |
Rev Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rev price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rev using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rev charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Rev Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Rev stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rev Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rev based on analysis of Rev hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rev's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rev's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0149 | 0.13 | 0.12 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.36 | 0.61 | 0.7 |
Story Coverage note for Rev
The number of cover stories for Rev depends on current market conditions and Rev's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rev is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rev's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rev Short Properties
Rev's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rev's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rev Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rev's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rev's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Rev Stock analysis
When running Rev's price analysis, check to measure Rev's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rev is operating at the current time. Most of Rev's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rev's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rev's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rev to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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