Roblox Corp Stock Price Prediction
| RBLX Stock | USD 56.97 0.46 0.81% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.41) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.50) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.29) | Wall Street Target Price 66.838 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.45) |
Using Roblox Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roblox Corp from the perspective of Roblox Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Roblox Corp using Roblox Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Roblox using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Roblox Corp's stock price.
Roblox Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long Roblox Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Roblox Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Roblox Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 49.1161 | Short Percent 0.0436 | Short Ratio 1.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 24.6 M | 50 Day MA 63.5732 |
Roblox Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Roblox Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Roblox. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Roblox can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Roblox Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Roblox Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Roblox Corp.
Roblox Corp Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Roblox Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Roblox Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Roblox Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Roblox Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Roblox Corp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Roblox Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Roblox because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Roblox Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 56.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Roblox contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Roblox Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Roblox Corp trading at USD 56.97, that is roughly USD 0.026 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Roblox Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Roblox Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Roblox |
Roblox Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Roblox Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Roblox Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Roblox Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Roblox Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Roblox Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Roblox Corp's historical news coverage. Roblox Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.26 and 59.64, respectively. We have considered Roblox Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Roblox Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Roblox Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Roblox Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Roblox Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Roblox Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Roblox Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.69 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.97 | 56.95 | 0.04 |
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Roblox Corp Hype Timeline
Roblox Corp is at this time traded for 56.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Roblox is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 56.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Roblox Corp is about 470.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.98. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.44. Roblox Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Roblox Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Roblox Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Roblox Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Roblox Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Roblox Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Roblox Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EA | Electronic Arts | 3.50 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.38 | (2.58) | 17.97 | |
| TTWO | Take Two Interactive Software | 0.57 | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.10 | 3.00 | (2.79) | 17.26 | |
| NTDOY | Nintendo Co ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.15 | 3.67 | (3.78) | 11.20 | |
| NTES | NetEase | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.98 | 0.12 | 3.95 | (3.97) | 15.03 | |
| BILI | Bilibili | 0.11 | 11 per month | 4.11 | 0.08 | 8.17 | (6.50) | 32.85 | |
| ATVI | Activision Blizzard | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SKLZ | Skillz Platform | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.41 | (7.35) | 24.27 | |
| SOHU | SohuCom | 0.30 | 4 per month | 2.76 | 0.05 | 4.11 | (3.94) | 14.72 |
Roblox Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Roblox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roblox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roblox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Roblox Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Roblox Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Roblox Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Roblox Corp based on analysis of Roblox Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Roblox Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Roblox Corp's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 7.69 | 61.55 | 64.62 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 310.12 | 356.63 | 384.05 |
Story Coverage note for Roblox Corp
The number of cover stories for Roblox Corp depends on current market conditions and Roblox Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Roblox Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Roblox Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Roblox Corp Short Properties
Roblox Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Roblox Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Roblox Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Roblox Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roblox Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 647.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Additional Tools for Roblox Stock Analysis
When running Roblox Corp's price analysis, check to measure Roblox Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roblox Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Roblox Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roblox Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roblox Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roblox Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.