Perdoceo Education Corp Stock Price Prediction

PRDO Stock  USD 24.58  0.10  0.41%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Perdoceo Education's share price is approaching 38 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perdoceo Education, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Perdoceo Education's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Perdoceo Education Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Perdoceo Education's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.808
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.64
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.41
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6
Wall Street Target Price
35
Using Perdoceo Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perdoceo Education Corp from the perspective of Perdoceo Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perdoceo Education using Perdoceo Education's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perdoceo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perdoceo Education's stock price.

Perdoceo Education Short Interest

An investor who is long Perdoceo Education may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Perdoceo Education and may potentially protect profits, hedge Perdoceo Education with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
24.1915
Short Percent
0.106
Short Ratio
12.31
Shares Short Prior Month
5.4 M
50 Day MA
26.7694

Perdoceo Education Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Perdoceo Education's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perdoceo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perdoceo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perdoceo Education Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Perdoceo Education's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Perdoceo Education.

Perdoceo Education Implied Volatility

    
  0.82  
Perdoceo Education's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perdoceo Education Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perdoceo Education's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perdoceo Education stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perdoceo Education's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Perdoceo Education to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Perdoceo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Perdoceo Education after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perdoceo contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perdoceo Education Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Perdoceo Education trading at USD 24.58, that is roughly USD 0.0126 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perdoceo Education's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perdoceo Education Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Perdoceo Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perdoceo Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9425.5927.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1624.8126.46
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.1232.0035.52
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.660.620.66
Details

Perdoceo Education After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Perdoceo Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perdoceo Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perdoceo Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Perdoceo Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Perdoceo Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perdoceo Education's historical news coverage. Perdoceo Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.93 and 26.23, respectively. We have considered Perdoceo Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.58
24.58
After-hype Price
26.23
Upside
Perdoceo Education is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perdoceo Education Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Perdoceo Education Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perdoceo Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perdoceo Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perdoceo Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.65
  0.05 
  0.05 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.58
24.58
0.00 
289.47  
Notes

Perdoceo Education Hype Timeline

Perdoceo Education Corp is at this time traded for 24.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Perdoceo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perdoceo Education is about 277.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.53. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Perdoceo Education Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.68. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 25th of August 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Perdoceo Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Perdoceo Education Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Perdoceo Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perdoceo Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Perdoceo Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perdoceo Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LINCLincoln Educational Services 0.21 8 per month 0.00  0  3.87 (5.55) 22.97 
ATGEAdtalem Global Education(2.75)8 per month 2.33  0.11  4.03 (3.35) 11.82 
ARCEArco Platform 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LOPEGrand Canyon Education(6.40)8 per month 1.62  0.06  1.77 (2.26) 7.34 
STRAStrategic Education 0.81 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.16 (2.89) 21.15 
APEIAmerican Public Education(0.75)7 per month 2.73  0.03  4.40 (5.08) 27.37 
LAURLaureate Education(0.15)11 per month 1.92  0.06  2.28 (2.47) 10.76 
AFYAAfya(0.44)9 per month 1.93  0.12  3.35 (3.64) 11.60 
LRNStride Inc 1.76 10 per month 2.04  0.14  2.49 (2.16) 13.46 
TEDUTarena Intl Adr 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BEDUBright Scholar Education 0.00 7 per month 5.95  0.03  10.86 (7.57) 30.05 
CLEUChina Liberal Education(0.01)9 per month 14.26  0.15  33.33 (21.40) 6,112 
GEHIGravitas Education Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Perdoceo Education Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Perdoceo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perdoceo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perdoceo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Perdoceo Education Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Perdoceo Education stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Perdoceo Education Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Perdoceo Education based on analysis of Perdoceo Education hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Perdoceo Education's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Perdoceo Education's related companies.
 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01820.0192
Price To Sales Ratio2.551.61

Story Coverage note for Perdoceo Education

The number of cover stories for Perdoceo Education depends on current market conditions and Perdoceo Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perdoceo Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perdoceo Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Perdoceo Education Short Properties

Perdoceo Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perdoceo Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perdoceo Education Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perdoceo Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perdoceo Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments568.9 M
When determining whether Perdoceo Education Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Perdoceo Education's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Perdoceo Education Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Perdoceo Education Corp Stock:
Check out Perdoceo Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perdoceo Education. If investors know Perdoceo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perdoceo Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.808
Dividend Share
0.5
Earnings Share
2.19
Revenue Per Share
10.378
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.193
The market value of Perdoceo Education Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perdoceo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perdoceo Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perdoceo Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perdoceo Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perdoceo Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perdoceo Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Perdoceo Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perdoceo Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.