Laureate Education Stock Price Prediction
| LAUR Stock | USD 18.93 0.20 1.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
73
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.436 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.75 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.41 | Wall Street Target Price 20 |
Using Laureate Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Laureate Education from the perspective of Laureate Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Laureate Education Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Laureate Education's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Laureate. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Laureate can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Laureate Education. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Laureate Education's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Laureate Education.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Laureate Education to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Laureate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Laureate Education after-hype prediction price | USD 19.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Laureate |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Laureate Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Laureate Education After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Laureate Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Laureate Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Laureate Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Laureate Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Laureate Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Laureate Education's historical news coverage. Laureate Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.01 and 21.31, respectively. We have considered Laureate Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Laureate Education is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Laureate Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Laureate Education Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Laureate Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Laureate Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Laureate Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.16 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.93 | 19.16 | 1.22 |
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Laureate Education Hype Timeline
Laureate Education is now traded for 18.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.27. Laureate is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Laureate Education is about 278.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.48 B. Net Income was 107.59 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 466.34 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Laureate Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Laureate Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Laureate Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Laureate Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Laureate Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Laureate Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UTI | Universal Technical Institute | 0.38 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.17 | 4.61 | (3.14) | 16.50 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | 1.77 | 8 per month | 1.20 | (0.05) | 1.61 | (2.00) | 11.39 | |
| LOPE | Grand Canyon Education | 3.84 | 7 per month | 1.04 | 0.06 | 2.20 | (2.06) | 17.79 | |
| APEI | American Public Education | 0.35 | 8 per month | 2.17 | 0.1 | 4.22 | (3.55) | 21.66 | |
| ARCE | Arco Platform | (0.1) | 1 per month | 1.05 | 0.07 | 3.61 | (2.22) | 17.65 | |
| AFYA | Afya | (0.35) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.62 | (4.21) | 9.86 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | (0.52) | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.08 | 2.81 | (2.83) | 15.11 | |
| LRN | Stride Inc | 1.29 | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.08 | 3.29 | (2.32) | 40.91 | |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services | 0.33 | 7 per month | 1.87 | 0.13 | 3.65 | (4.04) | 14.22 |
Laureate Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Laureate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Laureate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Laureate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Laureate Education Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Laureate Education stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Laureate Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Laureate Education based on analysis of Laureate Education hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Laureate Education's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Laureate Education's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.16 | 0.0522 | 0.0681 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.3 | 1.45 | 2.08 |
Story Coverage note for Laureate Education
The number of cover stories for Laureate Education depends on current market conditions and Laureate Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Laureate Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Laureate Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Laureate Education Short Properties
Laureate Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Laureate Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Laureate Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Laureate Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laureate Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 157.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 89.4 M |
Additional Tools for Laureate Stock Analysis
When running Laureate Education's price analysis, check to measure Laureate Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Laureate Education is operating at the current time. Most of Laureate Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Laureate Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Laureate Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Laureate Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.