Lincoln Educational Services Stock Price Prediction
| LINC Stock | USD 15.70 0.08 0.51% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.67 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.74 | Wall Street Target Price 22.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.29 |
Using Lincoln Educational hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lincoln Educational Services from the perspective of Lincoln Educational response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lincoln Educational using Lincoln Educational's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lincoln using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lincoln Educational's stock price.
Lincoln Educational Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lincoln Educational's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lincoln. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lincoln Educational stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 14.0141 | Short Percent 0.0141 | Short Ratio 1.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 270.1 K | 50 Day MA 16.4184 |
Lincoln Educational Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lincoln Educational's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lincoln. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lincoln can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lincoln Educational Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lincoln Educational's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lincoln Educational.
Lincoln Educational Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Lincoln Educational's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lincoln Educational Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lincoln Educational's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lincoln Educational stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lincoln Educational's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lincoln Educational to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lincoln because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lincoln Educational after-hype prediction price | USD 15.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lincoln contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lincoln Educational Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Lincoln Educational trading at USD 15.7, that is roughly USD 0.008635 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lincoln Educational's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lincoln Educational Services options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lincoln |
Lincoln Educational After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lincoln Educational at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lincoln Educational or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lincoln Educational, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lincoln Educational Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lincoln Educational's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lincoln Educational's historical news coverage. Lincoln Educational's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.22 and 19.24, respectively. We have considered Lincoln Educational's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lincoln Educational is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lincoln Educational is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lincoln Educational Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lincoln Educational is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lincoln Educational backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lincoln Educational, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.70 | 15.73 | 0.00 |
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Lincoln Educational Hype Timeline
Lincoln Educational is now traded for 15.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Lincoln is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln Educational is about 843.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.72. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lincoln Educational was now reported as 5.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.49. Lincoln Educational last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Lincoln Educational Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lincoln Educational Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lincoln Educational's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lincoln Educational's future price movements. Getting to know how Lincoln Educational's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lincoln Educational may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | 0.01 | 5 per month | 3.35 | 0.23 | 6.27 | (6.80) | 21.46 | |
| LAUR | Laureate Education | 0.05 | 12 per month | 1.88 | 0.07 | 2.45 | (2.47) | 10.76 | |
| VTRU | Vitru | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APEI | American Public Education | (0.75) | 7 per month | 2.73 | 0.02 | 4.02 | (5.08) | 27.37 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | 0.39 | 13 per month | 2.32 | 0.10 | 4.07 | (3.35) | 11.82 | |
| ARCE | Arco Platform | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LOPE | Grand Canyon Education | 2.74 | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.06 | 1.93 | (2.26) | 7.34 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | 0.92 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.54 | (2.89) | 21.01 | |
| LRN | Stride Inc | 1.76 | 10 per month | 2.04 | 0.13 | 2.49 | (2.16) | 13.46 | |
| AFYA | Afya | (0.44) | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.12 | 3.35 | (3.64) | 11.60 | |
| BEDU | Bright Scholar Education | (0.14) | 7 per month | 5.95 | 0.01 | 10.86 | (7.57) | 30.05 |
Lincoln Educational Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lincoln price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lincoln using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lincoln charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lincoln Educational Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lincoln Educational stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lincoln Educational Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln Educational based on analysis of Lincoln Educational hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lincoln Educational's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lincoln Educational's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007414 | 0.008527 | 0.0081 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.43 | 1.1 | 1.05 |
Story Coverage note for Lincoln Educational
The number of cover stories for Lincoln Educational depends on current market conditions and Lincoln Educational's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lincoln Educational is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lincoln Educational's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Lincoln Educational Short Properties
Lincoln Educational's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lincoln Educational's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lincoln Educational Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lincoln Educational's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lincoln Educational's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Lincoln Stock analysis
When running Lincoln Educational's price analysis, check to measure Lincoln Educational's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lincoln Educational is operating at the current time. Most of Lincoln Educational's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lincoln Educational's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lincoln Educational's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lincoln Educational to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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