Principal Financial Group Stock Price Prediction
| PFG Stock | USD 83.26 0.87 1.03% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.9002 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.4113 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.2678 | Wall Street Target Price 87.6154 |
Using Principal Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Principal Financial Group from the perspective of Principal Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Principal Financial using Principal Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Principal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Principal Financial's stock price.
Principal Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Principal Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Principal. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Principal Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 82.328 | Short Percent 0.0204 | Short Ratio 2.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 83.3988 |
Principal Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Principal Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Principal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Principal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Principal Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Principal Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Principal Financial.
Principal Financial Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Principal Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Principal Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Principal Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Principal Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Principal Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Principal Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Principal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Principal Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 83.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Principal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Principal Financial Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Principal Financial trading at USD 83.26, that is roughly USD 0.0224 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Principal Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Principal Financial Group options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Principal |
Principal Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Principal Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Principal Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Principal Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Principal Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Principal Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Principal Financial's historical news coverage. Principal Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.93 and 84.59, respectively. We have considered Principal Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Principal Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Principal Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Principal Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Principal Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Principal Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Principal Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.34 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
83.26 | 83.26 | 0.00 |
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Principal Financial Hype Timeline
On the 24th of March Principal Financial is traded for 83.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Principal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Principal Financial is about 1160.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.28. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Principal Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.68. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Principal Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Principal Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Principal Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Principal Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Principal Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Principal Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STT | State Street Corp | (1.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.38 | (3.40) | 9.98 | |
| BK | The Bank of | 0.25 | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.10 | 1.97 | (3.18) | 11.82 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.63 | (2.42) | 7.20 | |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group | 2.98 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.68 | (3.08) | 6.33 | |
| TROW | T Rowe Price | (1.45) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.91 | (3.64) | 6.99 | |
| IVZ | Invesco Plc | 0.29 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.80 | (4.53) | 14.13 | |
| AMP | Ameriprise Financial | 6.46 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.13 | (3.64) | 8.79 | |
| BEN | Franklin Resources | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.59 | (2.55) | 17.21 | |
| JHG | Janus Henderson Group | (1.23) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.91 | (4.00) | 9.40 | |
| NTRS | Northern Trust | 0.85 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.01 | (2.88) | 9.01 | |
| ARES | Ares Management LP | (5.58) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.70 | (5.11) | 11.83 |
Principal Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Principal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Principal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Principal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Principal Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Principal Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Principal Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Principal Financial based on analysis of Principal Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Principal Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Principal Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0336 | 0.0305 | 0.15 | 0.16 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.36 | 1.2 | 1.11 | 1.31 |
Story Coverage note for Principal Financial
The number of cover stories for Principal Financial depends on current market conditions and Principal Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Principal Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Principal Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Principal Financial Short Properties
Principal Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Principal Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Principal Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Principal Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Principal Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 235.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Principal Stock analysis
When running Principal Financial's price analysis, check to measure Principal Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Principal Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Principal Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Principal Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Principal Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Principal Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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