Old Dominion Freight Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 201.70 270.57 272.90 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 213.95 216.28 218.61 Details

24 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 380.33 417.94 463.91 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.35 1.36 1.40 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Old Dominion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Old Dominion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Old Dominion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Old Dominion Freight.

Old Dominion After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Old Dominion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Old Dominion Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.27	2.35	0.44	0.33	9 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
224.11	223.67	0.20	145.06   Notes

Old Dominion Hype Timeline

Old Dominion Freight is now traded for 224.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.33. Old is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 223.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 145.06%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Old Dominion is about 191.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 223.78. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.72. Old Dominion Freight last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Old Dominion Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Old Dominion Related Hype Analysis

Old Dominion Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Old price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Old using various technical indicators. When you analyze Old charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Old Dominion stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Old Dominion Freight, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old Dominion based on analysis of Old Dominion hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Old Dominion depends on current market conditions and Old Dominion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Old Dominion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Old Dominion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Old Dominion's future price predictability will typically decrease when Old Dominion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Old Dominion Freight often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Old Dominion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Old Dominion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Old Dominion Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Dominion. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Dominion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Old Dominion Freight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Dominion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Dominion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Dominion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Dominion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.