Is Old Dominion Stock a Good Investment?

Old Dominion Investment Advice

  ODFL
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Old Dominion Freight stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Old Dominion Freight. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Old Dominion in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Old Dominion's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Old Dominion's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Old Dominion navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Cargo Ground Transportation space and any emerging trends that could impact Old Dominion's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Old Dominion's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Old Dominion is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Old Dominion pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Old Dominion's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Old Dominion Freight stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Old Dominion Freight is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Macroaxis provides advice on Old Dominion Freight to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Old Dominion Freight. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Old Dominion is not overpriced, please check all Old Dominion Freight fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Old Dominion Freight has a price to earning of 46.55 X, we recommend you to check out Old Dominion Freight market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine Old Dominion Stock

Researching Old Dominion's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.63. Old Dominion Freight recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.49. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of March 2024.
To determine if Old Dominion is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Old Dominion's research are outlined below:
Old Dominion Freight generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Old Dominion Freight is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Old Dominion Freight has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of March 2025 Old Dominion paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FedEx Faces Challenges with Lowered Guidance and Economic Headwinds

Old Dominion Quarterly Cost Of Revenue

919.51 Million

Old Dominion uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Old Dominion Freight. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Old Dominion's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
31st of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Old Dominion's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Old Dominion's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2010-04-28
2010-03-310.050.060.0120 
2010-01-28
2009-12-310.070.080.0114 
2008-04-22
2008-03-310.090.08-0.0111 
2007-04-26
2007-03-310.10.110.0110 
2006-04-27
2006-03-310.090.10.0111 
2005-07-22
2005-06-300.10.110.0110 
2005-04-22
2005-03-310.070.080.0114 
2003-01-30
2002-12-310.040.050.0125 

Old Dominion Target Price Consensus

Old target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Old Dominion's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   24  Buy
Most Old analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Old stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Old Dominion Freight, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Old Dominion Target Price Projection

Old Dominion's current and average target prices are 168.20 and 199.67, respectively. The current price of Old Dominion is the price at which Old Dominion Freight is currently trading. On the other hand, Old Dominion's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Old Dominion Market Quote on 25th of March 2025

Low Price168.2Odds
High Price168.2Odds

168.2

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Old Dominion Target Price

Low Estimate181.7Odds
High Estimate221.64Odds

199.6724

Historical Lowest Forecast  181.7 Target Price  199.67 Highest Forecast  221.64
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Old Dominion Freight and the information provided on this page.

Old Dominion Analyst Ratings

Old Dominion's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Old Dominion stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Old Dominion's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Old Dominion's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Old Dominion's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Old Dominion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Old Dominion Freight backward and forwards among themselves. Old Dominion's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Old Dominion's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
2.5 M
Capital World Investors2024-12-31
2.5 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
1.7 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
1.5 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-12-31
1.4 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
22.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
16.9 M
Note, although Old Dominion's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Old Dominion's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 36.14 B.

Market Cap

41.91 Billion

Old Dominion's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.22  0.23 
Return On Capital Employed 0.31  0.33 
Return On Assets 0.22  0.23 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.29 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.2 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.24 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.24.
Determining Old Dominion's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Old Dominion is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Old Dominion's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Old Dominion's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Old Dominion's management efficiency

Old Dominion Freight has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1754 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1754 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.279 %, meaning that it created $0.279 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Old Dominion's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Old Dominion manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.23 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.33 this year. At this time, Old Dominion's Fixed Asset Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.23 this year, although the value of Other Assets will most likely fall to 1.09.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 19.71  20.70 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 19.71  20.70 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 19.94  20.94 
Price Book Value Ratio 8.95  9.40 
Enterprise Value Multiple 19.94  20.94 
Price Fair Value 8.95  9.40 
Enterprise Value39.7 B41.7 B
The strategic decisions made by Old Dominion management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.0068
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0068
Forward Dividend Rate
1.12
Beta
1.106

Basic technical analysis of Old Stock

As of the 25th of March, Old Dominion holds the Variance of 4.76, coefficient of variation of (1,035), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Old Dominion, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Old Dominion Freight mean deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and potential upside to decide if Old Dominion Freight is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 168.2 per share. Given that Old Dominion has information ratio of (0.08), we recommend you to check out Old Dominion Freight's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Old Dominion's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Old Dominion insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Old Dominion's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Old Dominion insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Old Dominion's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Old Dominion issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Old Dominion Freight uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Old bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Old Dominion Freight has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Old Dominion's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Old Dominion's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Old Dominion's intraday indicators

Old Dominion intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Old Dominion stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Old Dominion Corporate Filings

8K
4th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
14th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
Old Dominion time-series forecasting models is one of many Old Dominion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Old Dominion's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Old Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Old Dominion that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Old media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Old internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Old data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Old Dominion news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Old Dominion relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Old Dominion's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Old Dominion alpha.

Old Dominion Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Old Dominion can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Old Dominion Freight Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Old Dominion's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Old. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Old can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Old Dominion Freight. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Old Dominion's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Old Dominion and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Old Dominion news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Old Dominion.

Old Dominion Corporate Management

Cecil OverbeySr. VP of Marketing Pricing and Strategic Devel.Profile
Clayton BrinkerVP OfficerProfile
Sam FaucetteVice ComplianceProfile
Kimberly MareadyPrincipal Accounting OfficerProfile
When determining whether Old Dominion Freight is a strong investment it is important to analyze Old Dominion's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Old Dominion's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Old Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Old Dominion Freight. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Dominion. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Dominion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Dividend Share
1.04
Earnings Share
5.49
Revenue Per Share
27.005
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Old Dominion Freight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Dominion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Dominion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Dominion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Dominion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Old Dominion's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Old Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.