Oversea Chinese (Germany) Price Prediction

OCBA Stock  EUR 11.58  0.27  2.28%   
As of 22nd of December 2024, The value of RSI of Oversea Chinese's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Oversea Chinese, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Oversea Chinese's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Oversea Chinese and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Oversea Chinese's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oversea Chinese Banking, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Oversea Chinese hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oversea Chinese Banking from the perspective of Oversea Chinese response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oversea Chinese to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oversea because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Oversea Chinese after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 11.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Oversea Chinese Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0411.3812.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5211.8613.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2611.6211.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oversea Chinese. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oversea Chinese's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oversea Chinese's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oversea Chinese Banking.

Oversea Chinese After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oversea Chinese at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oversea Chinese or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oversea Chinese, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oversea Chinese Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oversea Chinese's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oversea Chinese's historical news coverage. Oversea Chinese's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.24 and 12.92, respectively. We have considered Oversea Chinese's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.58
11.58
After-hype Price
12.92
Upside
Oversea Chinese is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oversea Chinese Banking is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oversea Chinese Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oversea Chinese is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oversea Chinese backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oversea Chinese, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.34
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.58
11.58
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Oversea Chinese Hype Timeline

Oversea Chinese Banking is now traded for 11.58on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Oversea is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oversea Chinese is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.58. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.06. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Oversea Chinese Banking has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of May 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of August 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Oversea Chinese Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Oversea Chinese Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oversea Chinese's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oversea Chinese's future price movements. Getting to know how Oversea Chinese's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oversea Chinese may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Oversea Chinese Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oversea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oversea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oversea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Oversea Chinese Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Oversea Chinese stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oversea Chinese Banking, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oversea Chinese based on analysis of Oversea Chinese hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oversea Chinese's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oversea Chinese's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Oversea Chinese

The number of cover stories for Oversea Chinese depends on current market conditions and Oversea Chinese's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oversea Chinese is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oversea Chinese's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Oversea Chinese Short Properties

Oversea Chinese's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oversea Chinese's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oversea Chinese Banking often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oversea Chinese's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oversea Chinese's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.5 B

Complementary Tools for Oversea Stock analysis

When running Oversea Chinese's price analysis, check to measure Oversea Chinese's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oversea Chinese is operating at the current time. Most of Oversea Chinese's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oversea Chinese's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oversea Chinese's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oversea Chinese to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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