Origin Bancorp, Stock Price Prediction
| OBK Stock | 35.13 0.40 1.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.44 | Wall Street Target Price 39.75 |
Using Origin Bancorp, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Origin Bancorp, from the perspective of Origin Bancorp, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Origin Bancorp, using Origin Bancorp,'s stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Origin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Origin Bancorp,'s stock price.
Origin Bancorp, Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Origin Bancorp,'s implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Origin Bancorp, stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Origin Bancorp,'s implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Origin Bancorp, stock will not fluctuate a lot when Origin Bancorp,'s options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Origin Bancorp, to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Origin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Origin Bancorp, after-hype prediction price | USD 34.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Origin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Origin Bancorp, will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Origin Bancorp, trading at USD 35.13, that is roughly USD 0.0191 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Origin Bancorp,'s daily price movement you should consider acquiring Origin Bancorp, options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Origin |
Origin Bancorp, After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Origin Bancorp, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Origin Bancorp, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Origin Bancorp,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Origin Bancorp, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Origin Bancorp,'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Origin Bancorp,'s historical news coverage. Origin Bancorp,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.73 and 37.25, respectively. We have considered Origin Bancorp,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Origin Bancorp, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Origin Bancorp, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Origin Bancorp, Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Origin Bancorp, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Bancorp, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Origin Bancorp,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.26 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.13 | 34.99 | 0.40 |
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Origin Bancorp, Hype Timeline
On the 20th of January Origin Bancorp, is traded for 35.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Origin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Origin Bancorp, is about 5455.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.14. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Bancorp, last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. The entity had 1:3 split on the 23rd of July 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Origin Bancorp, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Origin Bancorp, Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Origin Bancorp,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Origin Bancorp,'s future price movements. Getting to know how Origin Bancorp,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Origin Bancorp, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPX | Marine Products | (0.28) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.41 | (2.75) | 9.29 | |
| AQST | Aquestive Therapeutics | (0.40) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.23 | (7.57) | 17.61 | |
| BC | Brunswick | 0.96 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.42 | (3.35) | 11.27 | |
| XTNT | Xtant Medical Holdings | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.98 | (5.17) | 20.61 | |
| NVNO | enVVeno Medical Corp | (0.10) | 8 per month | 3.12 | 0.02 | 8.51 | (4.38) | 20.68 | |
| LNSR | LENSAR Inc | 0.20 | 10 per month | 2.84 | 0.15 | 8.92 | (4.97) | 22.21 | |
| TOMDF | Todos Medical | (0.04) | 30 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Origin Bancorp, Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Origin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Origin Bancorp, Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Origin Bancorp, stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Origin Bancorp,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Bancorp, based on analysis of Origin Bancorp, hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Origin Bancorp,'s market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Origin Bancorp,'s related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0163 | 0.0169 | 0.0152 | 0.00896 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.94 | 3.21 | 3.7 | 4.15 |
Story Coverage note for Origin Bancorp,
The number of cover stories for Origin Bancorp, depends on current market conditions and Origin Bancorp,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Origin Bancorp, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Origin Bancorp,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Origin Bancorp, Short Properties
Origin Bancorp,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Origin Bancorp,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Origin Bancorp, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Origin Bancorp,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Origin Bancorp,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 279.6 M |
Check out Origin Bancorp, Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp,. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Bancorp, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 2.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Origin Bancorp, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Bancorp,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Bancorp,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Bancorp,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Bancorp,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Bancorp,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Bancorp, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Bancorp,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.