Lion Brewery (Sri Lanka) Price Prediction

LIONN0000  LKR 1,190  12.25  1.04%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Lion Brewery's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lion Brewery, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lion Brewery's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lion Brewery Ceylon, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lion Brewery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lion Brewery Ceylon from the perspective of Lion Brewery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lion Brewery to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lion Brewery after-hype prediction price

    
  LKR 1190.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lion Brewery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
944.43946.841,309
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,2661,2681,271
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
988.081,1131,238
Details

Lion Brewery Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Lion Brewery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lion Brewery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lion Brewery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lion Brewery Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lion Brewery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lion Brewery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lion Brewery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.41
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,190
1,190
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lion Brewery Hype Timeline

Lion Brewery Ceylon is now traded for 1,190on Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lion is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lion Brewery is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,190. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Lion Brewery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lion Brewery Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lion Brewery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lion Brewery's future price movements. Getting to know how Lion Brewery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lion Brewery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JATN0000Jat Holdings PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.06  0.20  4.47 (2.18) 8.09 
LCBFN0000Lanka Credit and 0.00 0 per month 2.60  0.1  5.00 (4.55) 14.07 
VLLX0000VIDULLANKA PLC 0.00 0 per month 2.29  0.03  4.56 (2.22) 21.17 
CARSN0000Carson Cumberbatch PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.20  0.07  3.73 (3.10) 10.23 
PINSN0000Peoples Insurance PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.22  0.14  4.76 (2.22) 9.76 
NTBN0000Nations Trust Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.58  0.27  3.96 (1.86) 5.90 
MRHN0000Mahaweli Reach Hotel 0.00 0 per month 2.08  0.17  8.70 (5.00) 20.33 
DISTN0000Distilleries Company of 0.00 0 per month 0.33  0.29  3.24 (1.22) 6.36 
PALMN0000Palm Garden Hotels 0.00 0 per month 0.99  0.20  6.26 (2.53) 11.85 
SHOTN0000Serendib Hotels PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.34  0.25  6.06 (2.50) 11.02 

Lion Brewery Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lion Brewery Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lion Brewery stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lion Brewery Ceylon, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lion Brewery based on analysis of Lion Brewery hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lion Brewery's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lion Brewery's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lion Brewery

The number of cover stories for Lion Brewery depends on current market conditions and Lion Brewery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lion Brewery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lion Brewery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for Lion Stock analysis

When running Lion Brewery's price analysis, check to measure Lion Brewery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lion Brewery is operating at the current time. Most of Lion Brewery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lion Brewery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lion Brewery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lion Brewery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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