Nations Trust (Sri Lanka) Price Prediction
| NTBN0000 | LKR 200.75 1.25 0.62% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nations Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nations Trust Bank from the perspective of Nations Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nations Trust to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nations because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nations Trust after-hype prediction price | LKR 200.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nations |
Nations Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Nations Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nations Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nations Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nations Trust Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nations Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nations Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nations Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
200.75 | 200.75 | 0.00 |
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Nations Trust Hype Timeline
Nations Trust Bank is now traded for 200.75on Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nations is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nations Trust is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 200.75. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Nations Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nations Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nations Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nations Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Nations Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nations Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GUARN0000 | Ceylon Guardian Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.60 | 0.18 | 6.05 | (5.33) | 22.26 | |
| SOYN0000 | Convenience Foods PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.20 | 4.13 | (3.23) | 28.23 | |
| DISTN0000 | Distilleries Company of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.12 | 2.74 | (2.52) | 9.89 | |
| HVAN0000 | HVA Foods PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.68 | 0.07 | 5.13 | (4.76) | 36.11 | |
| COCOX0000 | RENUKA FOODS PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.31 | 0.04 | 4.67 | (4.59) | 16.33 | |
| RALN0000 | Renuka Agri Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 5.41 | (2.78) | 16.89 | |
| CINSN0000 | Ceylinco Insurance PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.24 | 7.85 | (3.19) | 20.46 | |
| CINSX0000 | CEYLINCO INSURANCE PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.18 | 4.76 | (3.48) | 24.35 |
Nations Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nations price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nations using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nations charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nations Trust Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nations Trust stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nations Trust Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nations Trust based on analysis of Nations Trust hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nations Trust's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nations Trust's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Nations Trust
The number of cover stories for Nations Trust depends on current market conditions and Nations Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nations Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nations Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Nations Stock analysis
When running Nations Trust's price analysis, check to measure Nations Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nations Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Nations Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nations Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nations Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nations Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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