Kirklands Stock Price Prediction
| KIRK Stock | USD 1.79 0.04 2.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.50) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.48) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.31) |
Using Kirklands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kirklands from the perspective of Kirklands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kirklands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kirklands because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kirklands after-hype prediction price | USD 1.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kirklands |
Kirklands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kirklands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kirklands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kirklands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kirklands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kirklands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kirklands' historical news coverage. Kirklands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 6.07, respectively. We have considered Kirklands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kirklands is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kirklands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kirklands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kirklands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kirklands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kirklands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 4.29 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.79 | 1.78 | 0.56 |
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Kirklands Hype Timeline
Kirklands is now traded for 1.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Kirklands is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Kirklands is about 602.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.04. About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kirklands has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.39. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.49. The firm last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Kirklands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kirklands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kirklands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kirklands' future price movements. Getting to know how Kirklands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kirklands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRPL | Purple Innovation | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.81 | (5.05) | 18.50 | |
| MHK | Mohawk Industries | 5.68 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.70 | (2.77) | 18.13 | |
| LZB | La Z Boy Incorporated | 0.46 | 7 per month | 1.58 | 0.02 | 3.19 | (2.08) | 9.21 | |
| LEG | Leggett Platt Incorporated | 0.22 | 10 per month | 2.31 | (0.04) | 4.03 | (4.19) | 16.37 | |
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.04 | 3.03 | (2.70) | 9.61 | |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.96 | (3.43) | 10.65 | |
| NTZ | Natuzzi SpA | 0.00 | 7 per month | 3.73 | 0.01 | 8.75 | (5.44) | 30.87 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | 0.08 | 11 per month | 1.61 | 0.11 | 5.14 | (3.40) | 33.56 | |
| COOK | Traeger | (0.17) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.21 | (4.38) | 12.02 | |
| TPX | Tempur Sealy International | 0.88 | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.01 | 3.72 | (1.87) | 11.44 |
Kirklands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kirklands price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kirklands using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kirklands charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kirklands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kirklands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kirklands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kirklands based on analysis of Kirklands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kirklands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kirklands's related companies. | 2011 | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | PB Ratio | 2.4 | 0.21 | 12.69 | 2.66 | Capex To Depreciation | 1.13 | 0.57 | 0.4 | 1.59 |
Story Coverage note for Kirklands
The number of cover stories for Kirklands depends on current market conditions and Kirklands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kirklands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kirklands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kirklands Short Properties
Kirklands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kirklands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kirklands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kirklands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kirklands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Check out Kirklands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Kirklands Stock please use our How to buy in Kirklands Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Homefurnishing Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kirklands. If investors know Kirklands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kirklands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Earnings Share (1.49) | Revenue Per Share 35.488 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Kirklands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kirklands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kirklands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kirklands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kirklands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kirklands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kirklands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kirklands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kirklands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.