World Fuel Services Price Prediction
| INTDelisted Stock | USD 24.26 0.31 1.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Using World Fuel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of World Fuel Services from the perspective of World Fuel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in World Fuel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying World because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
World Fuel after-hype prediction price | USD 24.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
World |
World Fuel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of World Fuel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in World Fuel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of World Fuel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
World Fuel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting World Fuel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on World Fuel's historical news coverage. World Fuel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.26 and 24.26, respectively. We have considered World Fuel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
World Fuel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of World Fuel Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
World Fuel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as World Fuel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading World Fuel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with World Fuel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.26 | 24.26 | 0.00 |
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World Fuel Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November World Fuel Services is traded for 24.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. World is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on World Fuel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.26. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. World Fuel Services has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of December 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.World Fuel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to World Fuel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict World Fuel's future price movements. Getting to know how World Fuel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how World Fuel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.71) | 9 per month | 2.29 | (0.01) | 2.84 | (1.44) | 16.59 | |
| SGU | Star Gas Partners | (0.24) | 1 per month | 1.38 | 0.02 | 3.36 | (2.59) | 9.70 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.30 | 9 per month | 2.64 | (0.04) | 3.44 | (3.90) | 16.10 | |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | 0.20 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.34 | (5.60) | 14.28 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 1.60 | 8 per month | 1.09 | (0.05) | 2.68 | (1.93) | 5.70 | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.06 | (3.94) | 11.53 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.75 | (4.36) | 11.79 | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.20 | (0.04) | 2.88 | (2.23) | 6.12 | |
| VVV | Valvoline | (0.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.29 | (2.45) | 13.07 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.99 | (5.81) | 28.93 | |
| PBF | PBF Energy | (0.29) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.52 | (3.76) | 15.94 | |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participacoes SA | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.15 | (4.90) | 11.29 |
World Fuel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine World price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for World using various technical indicators. When you analyze World charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About World Fuel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of World Fuel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as World Fuel Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of World Fuel based on analysis of World Fuel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to World Fuel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to World Fuel's related companies.
Story Coverage note for World Fuel
The number of cover stories for World Fuel depends on current market conditions and World Fuel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that World Fuel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about World Fuel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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World Fuel Short Properties
World Fuel's future price predictability will typically decrease when World Fuel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of World Fuel Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential World Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. World Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 298.4 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Other Consideration for investing in World Stock
If you are still planning to invest in World Fuel Services check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the World Fuel's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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