Gulf Island Fabrication Stock Price Prediction
| GIFI Stock | USD 6.65 0.07 1.04% |
Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5 | Wall Street Target Price 8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) |
Using Gulf Island hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gulf Island Fabrication from the perspective of Gulf Island response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gulf Island using Gulf Island's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gulf using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gulf Island's stock price.
Gulf Island Implied Volatility | 1.51 |
Gulf Island's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gulf Island Fabrication stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gulf Island's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gulf Island stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gulf Island's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gulf Island to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gulf because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gulf Island after-hype prediction price | USD 6.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gulf |
Gulf Island After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gulf Island at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gulf Island or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gulf Island, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gulf Island Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gulf Island's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gulf Island's historical news coverage. Gulf Island's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.64 and 8.68, respectively. We have considered Gulf Island's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gulf Island is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gulf Island Fabrication is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gulf Island Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gulf Island is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gulf Island backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gulf Island, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.65 | 6.66 | 0.15 |
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Gulf Island Hype Timeline
Gulf Island Fabrication is currently traded for 6.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Gulf is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Gulf Island is about 718.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.63. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 159.2 M. Net Income was 14.74 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.25 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Gulf Island Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gulf Island Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gulf Island's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gulf Island's future price movements. Getting to know how Gulf Island's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gulf Island may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAYN | Haynes International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries | (0.01) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.32 | (3.15) | 14.41 | |
| MEC | Mayville Engineering Co | 0.55 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.85 | (3.51) | 10.28 | |
| ESAB | ESAB Corp | 1.91 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.05 | (4.01) | 8.87 | |
| NWPX | Northwest Pipe | (0.26) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.60 | (4.26) | 14.98 | |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | (5.09) | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.06 | 4.31 | (5.33) | 17.79 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | 1.24 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.66 | (2.71) | 7.81 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | (0.59) | 8 per month | 2.64 | 0.05 | 5.50 | (3.92) | 12.86 |
Gulf Island Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gulf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gulf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gulf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gulf Island Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gulf Island stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gulf Island Fabrication, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gulf Island based on analysis of Gulf Island hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gulf Island's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gulf Island's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003456 | 0.003283 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.7 | 1.02 |
Story Coverage note for Gulf Island
The number of cover stories for Gulf Island depends on current market conditions and Gulf Island's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gulf Island is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gulf Island's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gulf Island Short Properties
Gulf Island's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gulf Island's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gulf Island Fabrication often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gulf Island's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Island's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Gulf Stock analysis
When running Gulf Island's price analysis, check to measure Gulf Island's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulf Island is operating at the current time. Most of Gulf Island's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulf Island's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulf Island's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulf Island to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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