Insteel Industries Stock Price Prediction
| IIIN Stock | USD 30.31 0.21 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.17 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.05 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.85 | Wall Street Target Price 34 |
Using Insteel Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Insteel Industries from the perspective of Insteel Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Insteel Industries using Insteel Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Insteel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Insteel Industries' stock price.
Insteel Industries Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Insteel Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Insteel Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Insteel Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Insteel Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Insteel Industries' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Insteel Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Insteel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Insteel Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 30.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Insteel |
Insteel Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Insteel Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Insteel Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Insteel Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Insteel Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Insteel Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Insteel Industries' historical news coverage. Insteel Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.94 and 32.54, respectively. We have considered Insteel Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Insteel Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Insteel Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Insteel Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Insteel Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Insteel Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Insteel Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.31 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.31 | 30.24 | 0.23 |
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Insteel Industries Hype Timeline
Insteel Industries is currently traded for 30.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Insteel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Insteel Industries is about 1138.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.28. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Insteel Industries has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of June 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Insteel Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Insteel Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Insteel Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Insteel Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Insteel Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Insteel Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | 2.11 | 10 per month | 2.13 | 0.14 | 5.44 | (2.91) | 13.31 | |
| HAYN | Haynes International | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.24 | (0.30) | 0.64 | (0.43) | 1.98 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | 0.20 | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.09 | 4.48 | (3.34) | 21.43 | |
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | (1.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.00 | (3.73) | 13.98 | |
| ESAB | ESAB Corp | (1.76) | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.1 | 3.42 | (2.26) | 15.01 | |
| WOR | Worthington Industries | (0.84) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.60 | (4.76) | 13.44 | |
| MEC | Mayville Engineering Co | 0.38 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.55 | (2.95) | 25.65 |
Insteel Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Insteel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Insteel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Insteel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Insteel Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Insteel Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Insteel Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Insteel Industries based on analysis of Insteel Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Insteel Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Insteel Industries's related companies. | 2011 | 2016 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0307 | 0.0795 | 0.0846 | 0.0652 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.62 | 0.63 | 1.14 | 0.98 |
Story Coverage note for Insteel Industries
The number of cover stories for Insteel Industries depends on current market conditions and Insteel Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Insteel Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Insteel Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Insteel Industries Short Properties
Insteel Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Insteel Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Insteel Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Insteel Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Insteel Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 111.5 M |
Check out Insteel Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Insteel Stock, please use our How to Invest in Insteel Industries guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Insteel Industries. If investors know Insteel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Insteel Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 0.99 | Revenue Per Share 27.136 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Insteel Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Insteel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Insteel Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Insteel Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Insteel Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Insteel Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Insteel Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Insteel Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Insteel Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.