Gulf Island Fabrication Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GIFI Stock  USD 6.26  0.10  1.62%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gulf Island Fabrication is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Gulf Island's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Gulf Island Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gulf and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gulf Island Fabrication. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Gulf Island Buy or Sell Advice

The Gulf recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gulf Island Fabrication. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gulf Island Fabrication or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gulf Island's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gulf IslandBuy Gulf Island
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Gulf Island Fabrication has a Mean Deviation of 1.42, Standard Deviation of 1.91 and Variance of 3.65
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Gulf Island. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Gulf Island Fabrication is not overpriced, please check out all Gulf Island fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, earnings per share, and the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that Gulf Island Fabrication has a price to earning of (8.98) X, we strongly advise you to confirm Gulf Island Fabrication market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Gulf Island Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gulf Island generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gulf Island is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Where are the Opportunities in - Stock Traders Daily

Gulf Island Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gulf Island's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gulf Island's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gulf Island daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gulf Island Fabrication price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gulf Island returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gulf Island.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-4.11
Potential Upside
2.56
Standard Deviation
1.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gulf Island historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gulf Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Federated Hermes Inc2024-12-31
117.4 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
112.4 K
Aristides Capital Llc2024-12-31
71.2 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-12-31
55.6 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
54 K
Heron Bay Capital Management2024-12-31
51.9 K
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-12-31
47.6 K
Abel Hall Llc2024-12-31
46.9 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2024-12-31
39.9 K
First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca)2024-12-31
980.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
630 K
Note, although Gulf Island's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Gulf Island Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(6.5M)11.4M(19.8M)4.8M(11.2M)(10.6M)
Free Cash Flow(30.2M)(26.3M)(12.0M)4.3M12.9M13.5M
Depreciation8.7M5.4M5.1M5.5M4.9M4.6M
Other Non Cash Items3.5M2.6M(697K)(954K)(3.9M)(3.7M)
Capital Expenditures11.2M1.5M3.1M2.9M5.3M5.1M
Net Income(27.4M)(22.2M)(3.4M)(24.4M)14.7M15.5M
End Period Cash Flow43.2M54.6M34.8M39.7M28.5M30.7M
Change To Netincome827K18.0M4.7M18.0M20.7M21.7M
Change To Inventory(20.7M)(16.2M)(6.3M)3.2M3.6M3.8M
Investments2.6M8M(8.9M)(503K)(26.0M)(24.7M)
Net Borrowings(48K)10M(1.1M)(1.7M)(2.0M)(1.9M)

Gulf Island Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gulf Island or Energy Equipment & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gulf Island's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gulf stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Gulf Island Volatility Alert

Gulf Island Fabrication exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.21 and kurtosis of 0.45. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gulf Island's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gulf Island's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gulf Island Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gulf Island's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gulf Island's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gulf Island and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gulf Island or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gulf Island's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gulf Island by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gulf Island to competition
FundamentalsGulf IslandPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0439-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation53.63 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.96 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions66.13 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted84.36 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(8.98) X28.72 X
Price To Book1.08 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.64 X11.42 X
Revenue159.2 M9.43 B
Gross Profit22.25 M27.38 B
EBITDA13.6 M3.9 B
Net Income14.74 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents39.12 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.12 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.72 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.70 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations18.25 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.88 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.29) X4.89 X
Target Price8.0
Number Of Employees75118.84 K
Beta0.52-0.15
Market Capitalization102.33 M19.03 B
Total Asset133.22 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(26.63 M)9.33 B
Working Capital84.03 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 8000 shares by Keeffe Michael J of Gulf Island subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Gulf Island Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gulf . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gulf Island Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gulf Island Fabrication? Buying financial instruments such as Gulf Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Gulf Island in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Volatility ETFs
Volatility ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Volatility ETFs theme has 26 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Volatility ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Gulf Island Fabrication offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gulf Island's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gulf Island Fabrication Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gulf Island Fabrication Stock:
Check out Gulf Island Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gulf Island. If investors know Gulf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gulf Island listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.39)
Earnings Share
0.88
Revenue Per Share
9.725
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
0.0439
The market value of Gulf Island Fabrication is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gulf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gulf Island's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gulf Island's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gulf Island's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gulf Island's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gulf Island's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gulf Island is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gulf Island's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.