Forward Air Stock Performance
| FWRD Stock | USD 21.31 0.80 3.90% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.08, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Forward Air returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Forward Air is expected to follow. At this point, Forward Air has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to confirm Forward Air's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Forward Air performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Forward Air has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.9 | Five Day Return 12.1 | Year To Date Return (33.11) | Ten Year Return (61.76) | All Time Return 498.6 |
Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:2 | Dividend Date 2023-12-07 | Ex Dividend Date 2023-11-21 | Last Split Date 2005-04-04 |
1 | Insider Trading | 01/13/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Kyle Mitchin of 9996 shares of Forward Air subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/17/2025 |
3 | Forward Air Stock Price Down 4.9 percent Time to Sell | 02/05/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 225 shares by Michael Hance of Forward Air subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/07/2025 |
5 | FORWARD AIR Earnings Preview Recent FWRD Insider Trading, Hedge Fund Activity, and More - Nasdaq | 02/24/2025 |
6 | Forward Air Corp Reports Q4 Loss with EPS of -1.23 and Revenue of 632.8 Million, Missing Estimates | 02/26/2025 |
7 | Why Forward Air Stock Dropped on Thursday | 02/27/2025 |
8 | Forward Air Full Year 2024 Earnings EPS Beats Expectations, Revenues Lag | 02/28/2025 |
9 | Brokerages Set Forward Air Co. Target Price at 37.00 | 03/05/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2 B |
Forward |
Forward Air Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,893 in Forward Air on December 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (762.00) from holding Forward Air or give up 26.34% of portfolio value over 90 days. Forward Air is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.9067% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Forward, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Forward Air Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Forward Air's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Forward Air, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Forward Air's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1128
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | FWRD |
Estimated Market Risk
| 3.91 actual daily | 34 66% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.44 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.11 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Forward Air is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Forward Air by adding Forward Air to a well-diversified portfolio.
Forward Air Fundamentals Growth
Forward Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Forward Air, and Forward Air fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Forward Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.2 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0296 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.31) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.65 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 28.95 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 117.29 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.53 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.25 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.47 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 444.45 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (987.2 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (1.12 B) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 46.85 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.74 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.95 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.41 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.74 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 7.88 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (76.26 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (29.29) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 794.22 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.98 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 480.32 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 109.93 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 173.46 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 109.04 M | ||||
About Forward Air Performance
By analyzing Forward Air's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Forward Air's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Forward Air has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Forward Air has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.25 | 0.20 |
Things to note about Forward Air performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Forward Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Forward Air help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Forward Air generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Forward Air has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 444.45 M. | |
| Forward Air currently holds about 46.85 M in cash with (76.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.74. | |
| Forward Air has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brokerages Set Forward Air Co. Target Price at 37.00 |
- Analyzing Forward Air's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Forward Air's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Forward Air's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Forward Air's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Forward Air's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Forward Air's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Forward Air's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Forward Stock analysis
When running Forward Air's price analysis, check to measure Forward Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forward Air is operating at the current time. Most of Forward Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forward Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forward Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forward Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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