Critical Metals Corp Stock Price Prediction
| CRML Stock | 7.23 0.16 2.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Critical Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Critical Metals Corp from the perspective of Critical Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Critical Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Critical because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Critical Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 7.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Critical |
Critical Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Critical Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Critical Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Critical Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Critical Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Critical Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Critical Metals' historical news coverage. Critical Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.07 and 11.73, respectively. We have considered Critical Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Critical Metals is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Critical Metals Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Critical Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Critical Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Critical Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Critical Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 4.33 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.23 | 7.40 | 0.14 |
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Critical Metals Hype Timeline
Critical Metals Corp is currently traded for 7.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Critical is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Critical Metals is about 2492.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.24. Net Loss for the year was (147.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Critical Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Critical Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Critical Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Critical Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Critical Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Critical Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SUM | Summit Materials | 0.19 | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.20 | 4.18 | (2.33) | 9.88 | |
| SSVRF | Summa Silver Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.67 | (7.69) | 16.90 | |
| PMNXF | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.87 | 0.04 | 4.65 | (4.92) | 20.57 | |
| GZITF | Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.67 | |
| ASO | Academy Sports Outdoors | (0.1) | 9 per month | 1.90 | (0.05) | 4.04 | (3.25) | 9.63 | |
| MESA | Mesa Air Group | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.19 | (6.38) | 28.65 | |
| SAIA | Saia Inc | 1.31 | 8 per month | 2.01 | 0.09 | 3.84 | (3.95) | 18.12 | |
| HGMCF | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.57 | 0.00 | 38.00 |
Critical Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Critical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Critical using various technical indicators. When you analyze Critical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Critical Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Critical Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Critical Metals Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Critical Metals based on analysis of Critical Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Critical Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Critical Metals's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Critical Metals
The number of cover stories for Critical Metals depends on current market conditions and Critical Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Critical Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Critical Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Critical Metals Short Properties
Critical Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Critical Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Critical Metals Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Critical Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Critical Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Check out Critical Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Critical Metals. If investors know Critical will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Critical Metals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.08) | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.21) |
The market value of Critical Metals Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Critical that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Critical Metals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Critical Metals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Critical Metals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Critical Metals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Critical Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Critical Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Critical Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.