Citigroup Stock Price Prediction
| C Stock | USD 78.14 1.51 1.90% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8689 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.5208 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.3121 | Wall Street Target Price 91.6053 |
Using Citigroup hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citigroup from the perspective of Citigroup response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Citigroup using Citigroup's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Citigroup using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Citigroup's stock price.
Citigroup Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Citigroup's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Citigroup. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Citigroup stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 66.5952 | Short Percent 0.0175 | Short Ratio 1.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 36.4 M | 50 Day MA 76.3758 |
Citigroup Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Citigroup's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Citigroup. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Citigroup can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Citigroup. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Citigroup's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Citigroup.
Citigroup Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Citigroup's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Citigroup stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Citigroup's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Citigroup stock will not fluctuate a lot when Citigroup's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citigroup to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citigroup because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Citigroup after-hype prediction price | USD 77.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Citigroup contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Citigroup will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Citigroup trading at USD 78.14, that is roughly USD 0.019 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Citigroup's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Citigroup options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Citigroup |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citigroup's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citigroup After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citigroup at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citigroup or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Citigroup, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citigroup Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citigroup's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citigroup's historical news coverage. Citigroup's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.76 and 79.02, respectively. We have considered Citigroup's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citigroup is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citigroup is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citigroup Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Citigroup is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citigroup backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citigroup, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.64 | 0.44 | 0.10 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.14 | 77.39 | 0.65 |
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Citigroup Hype Timeline
As of February 25, 2025 Citigroup is listed for 78.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Citigroup is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 77.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 78.47%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Citigroup is about 340.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.04. The company reported the annual revenue of 71.36 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 12.68 B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 71.36 B. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Citigroup Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citigroup's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citigroup's future price movements. Getting to know how Citigroup's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citigroup may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (5.11) | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.09 | 1.92 | (1.43) | 6.85 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.11 | 0.05 | 1.71 | (2.14) | 8.83 | |
| TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | (0.25) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.08 | 1.36 | (1.22) | 7.63 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.25 | (7.39) | 15.36 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | (0.44) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.50 | (1.80) | 4.81 | |
| HSBC | HSBC Holdings PLC | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.47 | 0.32 | 1.55 | (1.46) | 4.99 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | 0.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.41 | (1.54) | 5.83 | |
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | (0.17) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.25 | (1.49) | 9.53 | |
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.70 | 0.11 | 1.62 | (1.43) | 7.04 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | 0.22 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.44 | (1.78) | 5.93 | |
| CS | Credit Suisse Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Citigroup Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citigroup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citigroup using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citigroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Citigroup Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Citigroup stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citigroup, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citigroup based on analysis of Citigroup hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citigroup's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citigroup's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0568 | 0.0525 | 0.0472 | 0.0496 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.17 | 1.26 | 1.88 | 1.5 |
Story Coverage note for Citigroup
The number of cover stories for Citigroup depends on current market conditions and Citigroup's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citigroup is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citigroup's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Citigroup Short Properties
Citigroup's future price predictability will typically decrease when Citigroup's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citigroup often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citigroup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citigroup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.8 B |
Complementary Tools for Citigroup Stock analysis
When running Citigroup's price analysis, check to measure Citigroup's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Citigroup is operating at the current time. Most of Citigroup's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Citigroup's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Citigroup's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Citigroup to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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