Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Price Prediction
| BXSL Fund | USD 32.19 0.31 0.95% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.125 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.88 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.5315 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.2515 | Wall Street Target Price 32.0938 |
Using Blackstone Secured hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blackstone Secured Lending from the perspective of Blackstone Secured response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Blackstone Secured to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Blackstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Blackstone Secured after-hype prediction price | USD 32.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Blackstone |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackstone Secured's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blackstone Secured After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blackstone Secured at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blackstone Secured or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Blackstone Secured, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blackstone Secured Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blackstone Secured's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blackstone Secured's historical news coverage. Blackstone Secured's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.59 and 33.37, respectively. We have considered Blackstone Secured's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blackstone Secured is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blackstone Secured is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blackstone Secured Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Blackstone Secured is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blackstone Secured backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blackstone Secured, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 0.89 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.19 | 32.48 | 0.06 |
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Blackstone Secured Hype Timeline
Blackstone Secured is currently traded for 32.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Blackstone is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Blackstone Secured is about 577.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.16. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Blackstone Secured last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Blackstone Secured Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Blackstone Secured Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blackstone Secured's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blackstone Secured's future price movements. Getting to know how Blackstone Secured's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blackstone Secured may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.14 | 1.39 | (1.43) | 4.67 | |
| OCSL | Oaktree Specialty Lending | (0.31) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.67 | (1.63) | 5.38 | |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.59 | 0.10 | 1.29 | (1.20) | 4.04 | |
| ORCC | Owl Rock Capital | (0.30) | 11 per month | 0.86 | 0.15 | 1.66 | (1.57) | 4.35 | |
| FSK | FS KKR Capital | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.38 | 0.24 | 1.31 | (0.99) | 4.10 |
Blackstone Secured Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blackstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blackstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blackstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Blackstone Secured Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Blackstone Secured stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Blackstone Secured Lending, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blackstone Secured based on analysis of Blackstone Secured hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Blackstone Secured's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blackstone Secured's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Blackstone Secured
The number of cover stories for Blackstone Secured depends on current market conditions and Blackstone Secured's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blackstone Secured is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blackstone Secured's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Blackstone Secured Short Properties
Blackstone Secured's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blackstone Secured's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blackstone Secured Lending often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blackstone Secured's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone Secured's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 167.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 154.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Blackstone Fund
Blackstone Secured financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackstone Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackstone with respect to the benefits of owning Blackstone Secured security.
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