Black Hills Stock Price Prediction
BKH Stock | USD 63.94 0.35 0.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.885 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.1175 | Wall Street Target Price 63.8333 |
Using Black Hills hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Black Hills from the perspective of Black Hills response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Black Hills Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Black Hills' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Black. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Black can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Black Hills. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Black Hills' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Black Hills.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Black Hills to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Black because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Black Hills after-hype prediction price | USD 64.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Black |
Black Hills After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Black Hills at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Black Hills or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Black Hills, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Black Hills Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Black Hills' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Black Hills' historical news coverage. Black Hills' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.93 and 65.17, respectively. We have considered Black Hills' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Black Hills is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Black Hills is based on 3 months time horizon.
Black Hills Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Black Hills is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Black Hills backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Black Hills, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.12 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
63.94 | 64.05 | 0.17 |
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Black Hills Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Black Hills is traded for 63.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Black is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 64.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 162.32%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Black Hills is about 218.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.02. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.33 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 262.2 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 772.84 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Black Hills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Black Hills Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Black Hills' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Black Hills' future price movements. Getting to know how Black Hills' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Black Hills may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
NWE | NorthWestern | (0.67) | 10 per month | 1.33 | (0.08) | 1.61 | (2.04) | 5.30 | |
AVA | Avista | (0.72) | 12 per month | 1.11 | (0.11) | 2.10 | (2.08) | 4.75 | |
OTTR | Otter Tail | 7.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.26 | (3.54) | 9.03 | |
ELP | Companhia Paranaense de | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.08 | (2.71) | 10.39 | |
ALE | Allete Inc | (0.17) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.81 | (0.35) | 1.38 | |
AESC | AES Corp Unit | (3.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.19 | (2.64) | 5.69 | |
MNTK | Montauk Renewables | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.73 | (5.22) | 25.57 | |
SRE | Sempra Energy | 1.57 | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.06 | 1.78 | (1.62) | 9.21 | |
AES | The AES | 0.33 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.73 | (4.41) | 18.47 |
Black Hills Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Black price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Black using various technical indicators. When you analyze Black charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Black Hills Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Black Hills stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Black Hills, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Black Hills based on analysis of Black Hills hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Black Hills's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Black Hills's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0325 | 0.0343 | 0.0465 | 0.0421 | Price To Sales Ratio | 10.78 | 9.95 | 1.55 | 1.66 |
Story Coverage note for Black Hills
The number of cover stories for Black Hills depends on current market conditions and Black Hills' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Black Hills is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Black Hills' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Black Hills Short Properties
Black Hills' future price predictability will typically decrease when Black Hills' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Black Hills often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Black Hills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Hills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 93 M |
Complementary Tools for Black Stock analysis
When running Black Hills' price analysis, check to measure Black Hills' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Black Hills is operating at the current time. Most of Black Hills' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Black Hills' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Black Hills' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Black Hills to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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