Avino Silver Gold Stock Price Prediction
| ASM Stock | USD 1.11 0.01 0.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.11 | Wall Street Target Price 1.925 |
Using Avino Silver hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avino Silver Gold from the perspective of Avino Silver response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Avino Silver to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Avino because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Avino Silver after-hype prediction price | USD 1.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Avino |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avino Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avino Silver After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Avino Silver at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avino Silver or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Avino Silver, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Avino Silver Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Avino Silver's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avino Silver's historical news coverage. Avino Silver's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.41, respectively. We have considered Avino Silver's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Avino Silver is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avino Silver Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Avino Silver Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Avino Silver is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avino Silver backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avino Silver, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 4.31 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.11 | 1.10 | 0.90 |
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Avino Silver Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Avino Silver Gold is traded for 1.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Avino is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.9%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Avino Silver is about 26523.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.11. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Avino Silver Gold has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 179.97. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 120:100 split on the September 18, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Avino Silver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Avino Silver Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Avino Silver's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avino Silver's future price movements. Getting to know how Avino Silver's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avino Silver may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HL | Hecla Mining | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.92 | (4.83) | 14.22 | |
| SILV | SilverCrest Metals | (0.16) | 11 per month | 2.96 | 0.04 | 8.37 | (4.82) | 16.03 | |
| MUX | McEwen Mining | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.60 | (5.30) | 15.30 | |
| MTA | Metalla Royalty Streaming | 0.08 | 10 per month | 3.27 | (0.01) | 6.98 | (5.43) | 20.05 | |
| EXK | Endeavour Silver Corp | 0.36 | 10 per month | 3.14 | 0.09 | 7.74 | (4.93) | 21.38 | |
| NEWP | New Pacific Metals | (0.01) | 9 per month | 3.05 | 0.02 | 6.77 | (4.49) | 24.14 | |
| GATO | Gatos Silver | (0.28) | 10 per month | 2.80 | 0.06 | 7.11 | (5.14) | 20.65 | |
| BVN | Compania de Minas | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.58 | (3.47) | 12.30 |
Avino Silver Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avino price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avino using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avino charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Avino Silver Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Avino Silver stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Avino Silver Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avino Silver based on analysis of Avino Silver hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Avino Silver's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Avino Silver's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 148.63 | 22.07 | 83.58 | 79.4 | PTB Ratio | 1.1 | 0.79 | 0.6 | 0.57 |
Story Coverage note for Avino Silver
The number of cover stories for Avino Silver depends on current market conditions and Avino Silver's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avino Silver is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avino Silver's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Avino Silver Short Properties
Avino Silver's future price predictability will typically decrease when Avino Silver's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Avino Silver Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Avino Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avino Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 M |
Check out Avino Silver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Precious Metals & Minerals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avino Silver. If investors know Avino will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avino Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share 0.02 | Revenue Per Share 0.407 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.604 | Return On Assets 0.0203 |
The market value of Avino Silver Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avino that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avino Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avino Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avino Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avino Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avino Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Avino Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avino Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.