New Pacific Metals Stock Price Prediction
NEWP Stock | USD 1.56 0.03 1.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.05) | Wall Street Target Price 4.586 |
Using New Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Pacific Metals from the perspective of New Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in New Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying New because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
New Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 1.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
New |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New Pacific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of New Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
New Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New Pacific's historical news coverage. New Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.78, respectively. We have considered New Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New Pacific is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New Pacific Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
New Pacific Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as New Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 4.23 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.56 | 1.55 | 0.64 |
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New Pacific Hype Timeline
New Pacific Metals is now traded for 1.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. New is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on New Pacific is about 11280.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.55. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 2.0. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. New Pacific Metals has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 174.55. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.04. The firm last dividend was issued on the June 13, 2001. New Pacific had 3:1 split on the June 1, 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out New Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.New Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how New Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
EXK | Endeavour Silver Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 3.12 | 0.1 | 7.74 | (4.93) | 21.38 | |
MTA | Metalla Royalty Streaming | (0.17) | 10 per month | 3.31 | 0 | 6.98 | (5.43) | 20.05 | |
HL | Hecla Mining | 0.05 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.92 | (4.83) | 14.22 | |
GATO | Gatos Silver | (0.28) | 9 per month | 2.75 | 0.08 | 7.11 | (5.14) | 20.65 | |
SILV | SilverCrest Metals | (0.16) | 11 per month | 3.00 | 0.05 | 8.37 | (4.82) | 16.03 | |
MUX | McEwen Mining | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.60 | (5.30) | 15.30 | |
DMIFF | Diamcor Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.33 | |
GLDRF | Idaho Champion Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.19 | 0.1 | 16.67 | (14.29) | 40.53 | |
STRFF | Star Royalties | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.18 | (0.0006) | 5.26 | (4.76) | 22.94 | |
TEUTF | Teuton Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.32 | (5.68) | 26.38 | |
GROY | Gold Royalty Corp | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.94 | (4.49) | 17.73 | |
PLG | Platinum Group Metals | 0.24 | 8 per month | 3.80 | 0.09 | 10.66 | (6.90) | 25.39 |
New Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About New Pacific Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of New Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as New Pacific Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of New Pacific based on analysis of New Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to New Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to New Pacific's related companies. 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 4.5 | 4.73 | Price To Sales Ratio | 593.98 | 564.28 |
Story Coverage note for New Pacific
The number of cover stories for New Pacific depends on current market conditions and New Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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New Pacific Short Properties
New Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when New Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New Pacific Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 167.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.2 M |
Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis
When running New Pacific's price analysis, check to measure New Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of New Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.