Alico Inc Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 23.99 29.46 31.80 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 24.41 26.75 29.09 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 29.12 32.00 35.52 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 Details

Alico After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Alico Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Alico Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.12	2.35	0.03	0.01	7 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 7 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
26.66	26.69	0.11	1,022   Notes

Alico Hype Timeline

Alico Inc is presently traded for 26.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Alico is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Alico is about 3345.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.65. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 39.85 M. Net Income was 1.66 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.81 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Alico Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alico Related Hype Analysis

Alico Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alico price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alico using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alico charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Alico stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alico Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alico based on analysis of Alico hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Alico depends on current market conditions and Alico's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alico is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alico's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Alico's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alico's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alico Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alico's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alico's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Alico Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alico. If investors know Alico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alico listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Alico Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alico that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alico's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alico's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alico's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alico's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alico's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alico is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.