Is Alico Stock a Good Investment?

Alico Investment Advice

  ALCO
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Alico Inc stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Alico Inc. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Alico in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Alico's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Alico's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Alico navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Agricultural Products & Services space and any emerging trends that could impact Alico's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Alico's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Alico is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Alico pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Alico's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Alico Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Alico Inc is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Alico. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Alico is not overpriced, please confirm all Alico Inc fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Alico Inc has a price to earning of 9.12 X, we suggest you to validate Alico Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine Alico Stock

Researching Alico's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alico Inc last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. The entity had 4:1 split on the 23rd of February 1987.
To determine if Alico is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Alico's research are outlined below:
Alico Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alico Inc currently holds about 6.87 M in cash with (6.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 11th of October 2024 Alico paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Alico, Inc. to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results on Monday, December ...

Alico Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

414.6 Million

Alico uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Alico Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Alico's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
5th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
4th of December 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alico's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Alico's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-05-09
2022-03-310.010.060.05500 
2022-02-03
2021-12-31-0.29-0.240.0517 
2010-08-09
2010-06-300.370.31-0.0616 
2014-02-06
2013-12-310.070.140.07100 
2012-12-05
2012-09-30-0.16-0.070.0956 
2010-05-10
2010-03-310.280.18-0.135 
2013-05-06
2013-03-310.540.43-0.1120 
2013-08-06
2013-06-300.470.60.1327 

Know Alico's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Alico is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alico Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Alico's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Alico's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
107.7 K
Boothbay Fund Management, Llc2024-09-30
94.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
69.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
60.2 K
Naples Global Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
58.1 K
Bard Associates Inc2024-09-30
54.7 K
Polar Asset Management Partners2024-09-30
51.6 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
41 K
Allen Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
40.4 K
Gate City Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
770.8 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
472.3 K
Note, although Alico's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alico's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 204.45 M.

Market Cap

135.41 Million

Alico's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.08 
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Equity(0.12)(0.11)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.56 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.49) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.49.
Determining Alico's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Alico is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Alico's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Alico's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Alico's management efficiency

Alico Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0667) % which means that it has lost $0.0667 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.097 %, meaning that it created $0.097 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Alico's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alico manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 30th of November 2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.08, though Return On Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (0.05). At this time, Alico's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 446.2 M, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop about 61.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 16.14  12.76 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 16.14  12.74 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 18.62  14.00 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.17  2.44 
Enterprise Value Multiple 18.62  14.00 
Price Fair Value 3.17  2.44 
Enterprise Value137.8 M147.7 M
Alico showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Dividend Yield
0.0075
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0075
Forward Dividend Rate
0.2
Beta
0.805

Basic technical analysis of Alico Stock

As of the 30th of November, Alico shows the Mean Deviation of 1.54, standard deviation of 2.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03). Alico Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Alico's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alico insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alico's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alico insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alico's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Alico issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alico Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alico bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alico Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Alico's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Alico's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Alico's intraday indicators

Alico intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alico stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alico Corporate Filings

8K
21st of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
11th of June 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
Alico time-series forecasting models is one of many Alico's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alico's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Alico Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Alico that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Alico media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Alico internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Alico data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Alico news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Alico relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Alico's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Alico alpha.

Alico Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Alico can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Alico Corporate Management

Already Invested in Alico Inc?

The danger of trading Alico Inc is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Alico is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Alico. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Alico Inc is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Alico Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alico's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alico Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alico Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alico Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alico. If investors know Alico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alico listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.352
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
3.41
Revenue Per Share
6.089
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.868
The market value of Alico Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alico that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alico's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alico's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alico's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alico's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Alico's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Alico is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.