Acuitas Microcap Fund Price Prediction
| AFMCX Fund | USD 14.29 0.25 1.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Acuitas Microcap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acuitas Microcap Fund from the perspective of Acuitas Microcap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acuitas Microcap to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acuitas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acuitas Microcap after-hype prediction price | USD 14.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acuitas |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acuitas Microcap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acuitas Microcap After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acuitas Microcap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acuitas Microcap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Acuitas Microcap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acuitas Microcap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acuitas Microcap's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acuitas Microcap's historical news coverage. Acuitas Microcap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.80 and 15.74, respectively. We have considered Acuitas Microcap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acuitas Microcap is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acuitas Microcap is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acuitas Microcap Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Acuitas Microcap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acuitas Microcap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acuitas Microcap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.47 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.29 | 14.27 | 0.14 |
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Acuitas Microcap Hype Timeline
Acuitas Microcap is presently traded for 14.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Acuitas is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Acuitas Microcap is about 126.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.21. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acuitas Microcap last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Acuitas Microcap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acuitas Microcap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acuitas Microcap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acuitas Microcap's future price movements. Getting to know how Acuitas Microcap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acuitas Microcap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GMJPX | Goldman Sachs Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.45 | (2.05) | 6.48 | |
| SRPIX | Short Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.02 | 1.95 | (1.35) | 9.98 | |
| NBRFX | Neuberger Berman Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.30 | (1.61) | 5.48 | |
| JAJLX | John Hancock Variable | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.21 | (1.49) | 5.48 | |
| PJEAX | Prudential Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.37 | (1.56) | 5.58 | |
| FREAX | Nuveen Real Estate | (8.12) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.17 | (1.40) | 5.18 | |
| FORFX | Forum Real Estate | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 1.44 |
Acuitas Microcap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acuitas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acuitas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acuitas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Acuitas Microcap Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acuitas Microcap stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acuitas Microcap Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acuitas Microcap based on analysis of Acuitas Microcap hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acuitas Microcap's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acuitas Microcap's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Acuitas Microcap
The number of cover stories for Acuitas Microcap depends on current market conditions and Acuitas Microcap's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acuitas Microcap is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acuitas Microcap's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Acuitas Mutual Fund
Acuitas Microcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acuitas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acuitas with respect to the benefits of owning Acuitas Microcap security.
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