Acuitas Microcap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.29
| AFMCX Fund | USD 14.29 0.25 1.78% |
Acuitas |
Acuitas Us Target Price Odds to finish over 14.29
The tendency of Acuitas Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.29 | 90 days | 14.29 | about 64.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acuitas Us to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.47 (This Acuitas Microcap Fund probability density function shows the probability of Acuitas Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Acuitas Us will likely underperform. Additionally Acuitas Microcap Fund has an alpha of 0.0456, implying that it can generate a 0.0456 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Acuitas Us Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acuitas Us
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acuitas Microcap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acuitas Us' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acuitas Us Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acuitas Us is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acuitas Us' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acuitas Microcap Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acuitas Us within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Acuitas Us Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acuitas Us for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acuitas Microcap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 96.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Acuitas Us Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acuitas Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acuitas Us' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acuitas Us' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Acuitas Us Technical Analysis
Acuitas Us' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acuitas Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acuitas Microcap Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acuitas Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acuitas Us Predictive Forecast Models
Acuitas Us' time-series forecasting models is one of many Acuitas Us' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acuitas Us' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acuitas Microcap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acuitas Us for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acuitas Microcap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 96.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Acuitas Mutual Fund
Acuitas Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acuitas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acuitas with respect to the benefits of owning Acuitas Us security.
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