Automatic Data Processing Stock Price Prediction
| ADP Stock | USD 295.32 2.19 0.74% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.103 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.0262 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.9743 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.9 | Wall Street Target Price 309.41 |
Using Automatic Data hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Automatic Data Processing from the perspective of Automatic Data response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Automatic Data using Automatic Data's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Automatic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Automatic Data's stock price.
Automatic Data Short Interest
An investor who is long Automatic Data may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Automatic Data and may potentially protect profits, hedge Automatic Data with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 281.743 | Short Percent 0.0152 | Short Ratio 3.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.8 M | 50 Day MA 302.5746 |
Automatic Data Processing Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Automatic Data's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Automatic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Automatic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Automatic Data Processing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Automatic Data's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Automatic Data.
Automatic Data Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Automatic Data's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Automatic Data Processing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Automatic Data's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Automatic Data stock will not fluctuate a lot when Automatic Data's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Automatic Data to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Automatic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Automatic Data after-hype prediction price | USD 295.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Automatic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Automatic Data Processing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Automatic Data trading at USD 295.32, that is roughly USD 0.0757 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Automatic Data's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Automatic Data Processing options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Automatic |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Automatic Data's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Automatic Data After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Automatic Data at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Automatic Data or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Automatic Data, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Automatic Data Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Automatic Data's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Automatic Data's historical news coverage. Automatic Data's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 294.33 and 296.37, respectively. We have considered Automatic Data's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Automatic Data is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Automatic Data Processing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Automatic Data Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Automatic Data is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Automatic Data backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Automatic Data, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
295.32 | 295.35 | 0.01 |
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Automatic Data Hype Timeline
On the 24th of March Automatic Data Processing is traded for 295.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Automatic is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 295.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 73.38%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Automatic Data is about 346.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 295.32. The company reported the last year's revenue of 19.2 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.75 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.6 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Automatic Data Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Automatic Data Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Automatic Data's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Automatic Data's future price movements. Getting to know how Automatic Data's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Automatic Data may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RHI | Robert Half International | 0.67 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.29 | (2.86) | 9.07 | |
| BBSI | Barrett Business Services | 0.79 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.91 | (1.96) | 4.99 | |
| MAN | ManpowerGroup | 0.27 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.22 | (2.38) | 8.18 | |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc | (0.59) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.22 | (3.31) | 7.05 | |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | (1.43) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.0008 | 1.94 | (2.63) | 9.01 | |
| KELYA | Kelly Services A | (0.77) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.16 | (3.59) | 11.95 | |
| PAYX | Paychex | 3.08 | 6 per month | 1.47 | 0.07 | 1.81 | (1.56) | 7.59 | |
| TBI | TrueBlue | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.00 | (6.22) | 22.95 | |
| ZIP | Ziprecruiter | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.05 | (4.74) | 26.01 | |
| BZ | Kanzhun Ltd ADR | 0.75 | 9 per month | 2.36 | 0.19 | 5.40 | (5.09) | 13.53 | |
| TNET | TriNet Group | 0.60 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.78 | (4.08) | 21.57 | |
| HRT | HireRight Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Automatic Data Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Automatic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Automatic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Automatic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Automatic Data Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Automatic Data stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Automatic Data Processing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Automatic Data based on analysis of Automatic Data hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Automatic Data's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Automatic Data's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0209 | 0.0226 | 0.0203 | 0.0154 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.05 | 5.04 | 4.54 | 2.43 |
Story Coverage note for Automatic Data
The number of cover stories for Automatic Data depends on current market conditions and Automatic Data's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Automatic Data is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Automatic Data's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Automatic Data Short Properties
Automatic Data's future price predictability will typically decrease when Automatic Data's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Automatic Data Processing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Automatic Data's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Automatic Data's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 412.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Additional Tools for Automatic Stock Analysis
When running Automatic Data's price analysis, check to measure Automatic Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Automatic Data is operating at the current time. Most of Automatic Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Automatic Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Automatic Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Automatic Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.