Albertsons Companies Stock Price Prediction
| ACI Stock | USD 19.85 0.23 1.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.86 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.62 | Wall Street Target Price 24.1607 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.48 |
Using Albertsons Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Albertsons Companies from the perspective of Albertsons Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Albertsons Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Albertsons Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Albertsons. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Albertsons can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Albertsons Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Albertsons Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Albertsons Companies.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Albertsons Companies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Albertsons because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Albertsons Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 19.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Albertsons |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Albertsons Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Albertsons Companies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Albertsons Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Albertsons Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Albertsons Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Albertsons Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Albertsons Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Albertsons Companies' historical news coverage. Albertsons Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.53 and 21.17, respectively. We have considered Albertsons Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Albertsons Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Albertsons Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Albertsons Companies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Albertsons Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Albertsons Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Albertsons Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.85 | 19.85 | 0.00 |
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Albertsons Companies Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November Albertsons Companies is traded for 19.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Albertsons is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Albertsons Companies is about 704.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.86. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Albertsons Companies was presently reported as 5.21. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of October 2024. Albertsons Companies had 3:1 split on the July 11, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Albertsons Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Albertsons Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Albertsons Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Albertsons Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Albertsons Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Albertsons Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (0.28) | 6 per month | 2.12 | (0.05) | 3.11 | (4.43) | 9.45 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 1.16 | 9 per month | 3.75 | 0.02 | 5.45 | (5.23) | 21.42 | |
| OCDDY | Ocado Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.72 | (4.22) | 11.08 | |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.70 | 0.29 | 3.51 | (1.84) | 10.56 |
Albertsons Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Albertsons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Albertsons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Albertsons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Albertsons Companies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Albertsons Companies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Albertsons Companies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Albertsons Companies based on analysis of Albertsons Companies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Albertsons Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Albertsons Companies's related companies. | 2010 | 2019 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 3.53 | 3.34 | 2.94 | PTB Ratio | 6.18 | 4.49 | 3.93 |
Story Coverage note for Albertsons Companies
The number of cover stories for Albertsons Companies depends on current market conditions and Albertsons Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Albertsons Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Albertsons Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Albertsons Companies Short Properties
Albertsons Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Albertsons Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Albertsons Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Albertsons Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Albertsons Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 581.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 188.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Albertsons Stock analysis
When running Albertsons Companies' price analysis, check to measure Albertsons Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Albertsons Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Albertsons Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Albertsons Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Albertsons Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Albertsons Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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