Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Price Prediction
| SFM Stock | USD 142.39 2.62 1.87% |
Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.597 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3146 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6449 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.2776 | Wall Street Target Price 172 |
Using Sprouts Farmers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprouts Farmers Market from the perspective of Sprouts Farmers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sprouts Farmers using Sprouts Farmers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sprouts using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sprouts Farmers' stock price.
Sprouts Farmers Short Interest
An investor who is long Sprouts Farmers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sprouts Farmers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sprouts Farmers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 120.062 | Short Percent 0.0913 | Short Ratio 3.17 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.9 M | 50 Day MA 150.0462 |
Sprouts Farmers Market Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sprouts Farmers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sprouts. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sprouts can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sprouts Farmers Market. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sprouts Farmers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sprouts Farmers.
Sprouts Farmers Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sprouts Farmers Market stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sprouts Farmers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sprouts Farmers' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sprouts Farmers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sprouts because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sprouts Farmers after-hype prediction price | USD 142.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sprouts contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sprouts Farmers Market will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Sprouts Farmers trading at USD 142.39, that is roughly USD 0.0489 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sprouts Farmers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sprouts Farmers Market options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sprouts |
Sprouts Farmers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sprouts Farmers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprouts Farmers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprouts Farmers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sprouts Farmers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sprouts Farmers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprouts Farmers' historical news coverage. Sprouts Farmers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 139.01 and 145.11, respectively. We have considered Sprouts Farmers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sprouts Farmers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprouts Farmers Market is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sprouts Farmers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprouts Farmers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprouts Farmers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprouts Farmers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 3.05 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
142.39 | 142.06 | 0.23 |
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Sprouts Farmers Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of March Sprouts Farmers Market is traded for 142.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Sprouts is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 142.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 195.51%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Sprouts Farmers is about 1960.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 142.42. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.3. Sprouts Farmers Market had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 12th of February 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Sprouts Farmers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sprouts Farmers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sprouts Farmers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprouts Farmers' future price movements. Getting to know how Sprouts Farmers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprouts Farmers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASAI | Sendas Distribuidora SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6.51 | (2.93) | 8.01 | |
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by | (1.97) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.46 | (5.63) | 16.17 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | 0.28 | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.12 | 3.42 | (2.69) | 8.11 | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (1.37) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.16 | (2.47) | 6.23 | |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 0.41 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.10 | 2.82 | (3.14) | 10.84 | |
| WMK | Weis Markets | 2.60 | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.11 | 2.78 | (2.87) | 8.78 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.64 | (4.81) | 38.19 | |
| KR | Kroger Company | 1.07 | 7 per month | 1.24 | 0.11 | 2.25 | (2.34) | 6.92 | |
| DNUT | Krispy Kreme | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.22 | (5.14) | 28.46 |
Sprouts Farmers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sprouts price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprouts using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprouts charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sprouts Farmers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sprouts Farmers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sprouts Farmers Market, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sprouts Farmers based on analysis of Sprouts Farmers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sprouts Farmers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sprouts Farmers's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.052 | 0.0462 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.83 | 0.79 |
Story Coverage note for Sprouts Farmers
The number of cover stories for Sprouts Farmers depends on current market conditions and Sprouts Farmers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprouts Farmers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprouts Farmers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sprouts Farmers Short Properties
Sprouts Farmers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprouts Farmers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprouts Farmers Market often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprouts Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprouts Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 265.2 M |
Check out Sprouts Farmers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprouts Farmers. If investors know Sprouts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprouts Farmers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.597 | Earnings Share 3.74 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.175 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sprouts Farmers Market is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprouts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprouts Farmers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprouts Farmers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprouts Farmers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprouts Farmers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprouts Farmers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprouts Farmers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprouts Farmers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.