Chongqing VDL (China) Price Prediction

301121 Stock   53.34  1.82  3.30%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Chongqing VDL's stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chongqing, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chongqing VDL's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chongqing VDL Electronics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chongqing VDL's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.166
Wall Street Target Price
84.99
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.309
Using Chongqing VDL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chongqing VDL Electronics from the perspective of Chongqing VDL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chongqing VDL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chongqing because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chongqing VDL after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 53.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Chongqing VDL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.6041.5558.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.0657.0261.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.3151.2273.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chongqing VDL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chongqing VDL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chongqing VDL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chongqing VDL Electronics.

Chongqing VDL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chongqing VDL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chongqing VDL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chongqing VDL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chongqing VDL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chongqing VDL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chongqing VDL's historical news coverage. Chongqing VDL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.39 and 58.29, respectively. We have considered Chongqing VDL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
53.34
53.34
After-hype Price
58.29
Upside
Chongqing VDL is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chongqing VDL Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chongqing VDL Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chongqing VDL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chongqing VDL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chongqing VDL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.78 
4.96
 0.00  
  2.68 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
53.34
53.34
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Chongqing VDL Hype Timeline

Chongqing VDL Electronics is presently traded for 53.34on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -2.68. Chongqing is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.78%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chongqing VDL is about 144.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.66. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Chongqing VDL was presently reported as 23.78. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Chongqing VDL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chongqing VDL Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chongqing VDL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chongqing VDL's future price movements. Getting to know how Chongqing VDL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chongqing VDL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Chongqing VDL Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chongqing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chongqing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chongqing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chongqing VDL Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chongqing VDL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chongqing VDL Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chongqing VDL based on analysis of Chongqing VDL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chongqing VDL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chongqing VDL's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Chongqing VDL

The number of cover stories for Chongqing VDL depends on current market conditions and Chongqing VDL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chongqing VDL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chongqing VDL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Chongqing VDL Short Properties

Chongqing VDL's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chongqing VDL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chongqing VDL Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chongqing VDL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chongqing VDL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.8 M
Dividends Paid13.3 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.3
Shares Float29.8 M

Complementary Tools for Chongqing Stock analysis

When running Chongqing VDL's price analysis, check to measure Chongqing VDL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chongqing VDL is operating at the current time. Most of Chongqing VDL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chongqing VDL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chongqing VDL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chongqing VDL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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