Kweichow Moutai (China) Price Prediction

600519 Stock   1,574  30.25  1.89%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Kweichow Moutai's stock price is about 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of March 2025. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kweichow, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kweichow Moutai's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kweichow Moutai Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kweichow Moutai's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.132
Wall Street Target Price
1.9 K
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
14.26
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.153
Using Kweichow Moutai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kweichow Moutai Co from the perspective of Kweichow Moutai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kweichow Moutai to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kweichow because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kweichow Moutai after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 1573.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kweichow Moutai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4161,6091,611
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,6181,6191,621
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Kweichow Moutai After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kweichow Moutai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kweichow Moutai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kweichow Moutai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kweichow Moutai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kweichow Moutai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kweichow Moutai's historical news coverage. Kweichow Moutai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,572 and 1,575, respectively. We have considered Kweichow Moutai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,574
1,574
After-hype Price
1,575
Upside
Kweichow Moutai is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kweichow Moutai is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kweichow Moutai Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kweichow Moutai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kweichow Moutai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kweichow Moutai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.38
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,574
1,574
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kweichow Moutai Hype Timeline

Kweichow Moutai is presently traded for 1,574on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Kweichow is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kweichow Moutai is about 956.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,574. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.66. Kweichow Moutai recorded earning per share (EPS) of 65.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 17th of July 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Kweichow Moutai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kweichow Moutai Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kweichow Moutai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kweichow Moutai's future price movements. Getting to know how Kweichow Moutai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kweichow Moutai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Kweichow Moutai Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kweichow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kweichow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kweichow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kweichow Moutai Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kweichow Moutai stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kweichow Moutai Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kweichow Moutai based on analysis of Kweichow Moutai hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kweichow Moutai's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kweichow Moutai's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kweichow Moutai

The number of cover stories for Kweichow Moutai depends on current market conditions and Kweichow Moutai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kweichow Moutai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kweichow Moutai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Kweichow Moutai Short Properties

Kweichow Moutai's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kweichow Moutai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kweichow Moutai Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kweichow Moutai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kweichow Moutai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

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When running Kweichow Moutai's price analysis, check to measure Kweichow Moutai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kweichow Moutai is operating at the current time. Most of Kweichow Moutai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kweichow Moutai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kweichow Moutai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kweichow Moutai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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