Shenwan Hongyuan (China) Price Prediction
| 000166 Stock | 5.41 0.04 0.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.842 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.175 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2411 | Wall Street Target Price 4.96 |
Using Shenwan Hongyuan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shenwan Hongyuan Group from the perspective of Shenwan Hongyuan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shenwan Hongyuan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shenwan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Shenwan Hongyuan after-hype prediction price | CNY 5.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Shenwan |
Shenwan Hongyuan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shenwan Hongyuan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shenwan Hongyuan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shenwan Hongyuan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shenwan Hongyuan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shenwan Hongyuan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shenwan Hongyuan's historical news coverage. Shenwan Hongyuan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.23 and 8.59, respectively. We have considered Shenwan Hongyuan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shenwan Hongyuan is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shenwan Hongyuan is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shenwan Hongyuan Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shenwan Hongyuan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shenwan Hongyuan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shenwan Hongyuan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 3.10 | 0.00 | 0.68 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.41 | 5.41 | 0.00 |
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Shenwan Hongyuan Hype Timeline
Shenwan Hongyuan is presently traded for 5.41on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.68. Shenwan is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shenwan Hongyuan is about 159.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.73. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Shenwan Hongyuan last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2024. The entity had 13.5:10 split on the 6th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Shenwan Hongyuan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Shenwan Hongyuan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shenwan Hongyuan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shenwan Hongyuan's future price movements. Getting to know how Shenwan Hongyuan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shenwan Hongyuan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | (13.91) | 2 per month | 1.81 | 0.06 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 300750 | Contemporary Amperex Technology | (2.90) | 1 per month | 3.05 | 0.14 | 7.94 | (3.41) | 33.42 | |
| 603444 | G bits Network Technology | (4.18) | 1 per month | 3.30 | 0.06 | 5.75 | (4.79) | 18.75 | |
| 002594 | BYD Co Ltd | 0.45 | 2 per month | 2.01 | 0.05 | 5.33 | (2.93) | 14.84 | |
| 688169 | Beijing Roborock Technology | (4.46) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.74 | (5.72) | 34.80 | |
| 200596 | Anhui Gujing Distillery | 0.23 | 1 per month | 2.14 | 0.09 | 4.80 | (2.38) | 18.31 | |
| 000596 | Anhui Gujing Distillery | (1.00) | 1 per month | 2.92 | 0.07 | 9.98 | (4.49) | 20.00 | |
| 002371 | NAURA Technology Group | 9.99 | 3 per month | 2.18 | 0.15 | 9.80 | (3.99) | 15.93 | |
| 300760 | Shenzhen Mindray Bio Medical | (1.69) | 2 per month | 2.51 | 0.03 | 4.81 | (3.75) | 19.76 |
Shenwan Hongyuan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shenwan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shenwan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shenwan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Shenwan Hongyuan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Shenwan Hongyuan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shenwan Hongyuan Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shenwan Hongyuan based on analysis of Shenwan Hongyuan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shenwan Hongyuan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shenwan Hongyuan's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Shenwan Hongyuan
The number of cover stories for Shenwan Hongyuan depends on current market conditions and Shenwan Hongyuan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shenwan Hongyuan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shenwan Hongyuan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Shenwan Hongyuan Short Properties
Shenwan Hongyuan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shenwan Hongyuan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shenwan Hongyuan Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shenwan Hongyuan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenwan Hongyuan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25 B |
Complementary Tools for Shenwan Stock analysis
When running Shenwan Hongyuan's price analysis, check to measure Shenwan Hongyuan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shenwan Hongyuan is operating at the current time. Most of Shenwan Hongyuan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shenwan Hongyuan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shenwan Hongyuan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shenwan Hongyuan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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