Hovnanian Enterprises Stock Performance

HOV Stock  USD 106.72  4.53  4.07%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.72, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hovnanian Enterprises will likely underperform. At this point, Hovnanian Enterprises has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to check out Hovnanian Enterprises' maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Hovnanian Enterprises performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Hovnanian Enterprises has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.07)
Five Day Return
(2.59)
Year To Date Return
(16.65)
Ten Year Return
23.38
All Time Return
192.7
Last Split Factor
1:25
Dividend Date
2019-03-29
Last Split Date
2019-03-29
1
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc Stock Price Down 3. percent on Jan 31
01/31/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by Edward Kangas of Hovnanian Enterprises at 233.605 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2025
3
Hovnanian GAAP EPS of 3.58 beats by 0.87, revenue of 673.6M misses by 32.2M
02/24/2025
4
Q1 2025 Hovnanian Enterprises Inc Earnings Call Transcript
02/25/2025
5
Hovnanian Q1 Earnings Rise 23, Margins Decline on Incentives
02/27/2025
6
One Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. Analyst Just Made A Major Cut To Next Years Estimates
02/28/2025
7
Disposition of 2000 shares by Edward Kangas of Hovnanian Enterprises at 101.51 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/03/2025
8
Hovnanian Enterprises Hits New 1-Year Low Should You Sell
03/04/2025
9
ACCELERATE Trailblazers redefine whats possible for home buying in a digital world
03/13/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow477.5 M
  

Hovnanian Enterprises Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,632  in Hovnanian Enterprises on December 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2,960) from holding Hovnanian Enterprises or give up 21.71% of portfolio value over 90 days. Hovnanian Enterprises is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.4559% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Hovnanian, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hovnanian Enterprises is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of volatility.

Hovnanian Enterprises Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hovnanian Enterprises' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Hovnanian Enterprises, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Hovnanian Enterprises' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1007

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Estimated Market Risk

 3.46
  actual daily
30
70% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.35
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Hovnanian Enterprises is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Hovnanian Enterprises by adding Hovnanian Enterprises to a well-diversified portfolio.

Hovnanian Enterprises Fundamentals Growth

Hovnanian Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hovnanian Enterprises, and Hovnanian Enterprises fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hovnanian Stock performance.

About Hovnanian Enterprises Performance

Evaluating Hovnanian Enterprises' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hovnanian Enterprises has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hovnanian Enterprises has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 287.29  280.60 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.27  0.29 

Things to note about Hovnanian Enterprises performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hovnanian Enterprises for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Hovnanian Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hovnanian Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hovnanian Enterprises has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Hovnanian Enterprises is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
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Evaluating Hovnanian Enterprises' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hovnanian Enterprises' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Hovnanian Enterprises' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hovnanian Enterprises' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hovnanian Enterprises' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hovnanian Enterprises' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hovnanian Enterprises' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hovnanian Enterprises' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Hovnanian Enterprises' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hovnanian Enterprises' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hovnanian Enterprises' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Hovnanian Stock Analysis

When running Hovnanian Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Hovnanian Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hovnanian Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Hovnanian Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hovnanian Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hovnanian Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hovnanian Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.