Hovnanian Enterprises Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HOV Stock | USD 106.39 2.59 2.38% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hovnanian Enterprises is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hovnanian Enterprises given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hovnanian Enterprises, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Hovnanian Enterprises Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Hovnanian Stock please use our How to Invest in Hovnanian Enterprises guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hovnanian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Hovnanian Enterprises. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
Hovnanian |
Execute Hovnanian Enterprises Buy or Sell Advice
The Hovnanian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hovnanian Enterprises. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hovnanian Enterprises or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hovnanian Enterprises' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
3 Months |
Risk Tolerance
I am an educated risk taker |
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Hovnanian Enterprises Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hovnanian Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hovnanian Enterprises has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hovnanian Enterprises is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. PFD DEP11000A Short Interest Update |
Hovnanian Enterprises Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hovnanian Enterprises' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hovnanian Enterprises' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hovnanian Enterprises daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hovnanian Enterprises price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hovnanian Enterprises returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hovnanian Enterprises.
| Mean Return | -0.28 |
| Value At Risk | -4.32 |
| Potential Upside | 6.00 |
| Standard Deviation | 3.44 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hovnanian Enterprises historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hovnanian Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Hovnanian Enterprises, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hovnanian Enterprises back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | |||
| Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 86 K | |
| Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 71.8 K | |
| Foundry Partners, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 65.6 K | |
| Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-12-31 | 65.2 K | |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 52.3 K | |
| American Century Companies Inc | 2024-12-31 | 52.2 K | |
| Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 46.5 K | |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 45.6 K | |
| Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 37.2 K | |
| Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 469.5 K | |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 311.6 K |
Hovnanian Enterprises Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (35.5M) | (279M) | 278.7M | (183.5M) | (211.1M) | (200.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | 1.9M | 70.8M | (167.5M) | (210.8M) | (189.7M) | (180.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 204.3M | 76.9M | 195.9M | 5.8M | 6.6M | 7.0M | |
| Depreciation | 5.3M | 5.5M | 8.8M | 7.7M | 8.9M | 8.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (46.1M) | 40.5M | (214.7M) | (313.1M) | (281.8M) | (267.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.9M | 12.6M | 18.8M | 17.9M | 16.1M | 20.6M | |
| Net Income | 607.8M | 225.5M | 205.9M | 242.0M | 278.3M | 292.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 311.4M | 382.2M | 214.7M | 266.8M | 306.8M | 202.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 17.1M | (460.1M) | 112.7M | (3.3M) | (3.0M) | (3.1M) | |
| Investments | 14.9M | 10.3M | (61.4M) | (46.5M) | (41.8M) | (39.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (154.5M) | (144.7M) | (124.0M) | (232.4M) | (209.1M) | (198.7M) |
Hovnanian Enterprises Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hovnanian Enterprises or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hovnanian Enterprises' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hovnanian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Hovnanian Enterprises Volatility Alert
Hovnanian Enterprises exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.11 and kurtosis of 2.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hovnanian Enterprises' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hovnanian Enterprises' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hovnanian Enterprises Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hovnanian Enterprises' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hovnanian Enterprises' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hovnanian Enterprises and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hovnanian Enterprises or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hovnanian Enterprises' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hovnanian Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hovnanian Enterprises to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hovnanian Enterprises | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.41 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0702 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.67 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.33 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 68.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 242.29 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.51 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.95 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 581.67 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 313.34 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 242.01 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 326.2 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 35.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 986.89 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.21 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.87 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 93.90 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 23.64 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 32.05 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.22 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 27.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.88 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.04 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.61 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 74.14 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.4 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 2000 shares by Edward Kangas of Hovnanian Enterprises at 101.51 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hovnanian Enterprises Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hovnanian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2001.4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.52) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 107.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 107.07 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.31) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.59) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.75 |
About Hovnanian Enterprises Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hovnanian Enterprises? Buying financial instruments such as Hovnanian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Additional Tools for Hovnanian Stock Analysis
When running Hovnanian Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Hovnanian Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hovnanian Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Hovnanian Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hovnanian Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hovnanian Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hovnanian Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.