Gudang Garam (Indonesia) Performance

GGRM Stock  IDR 10,025  225.00  2.20%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gudang Garam's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gudang Garam is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Gudang Garam Tbk has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to check out Gudang Garam's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Gudang Garam Tbk performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Gudang Garam Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow4.8 T
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.8 T
  

Gudang Garam Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,322,500  in Gudang Garam Tbk on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (320,000) from holding Gudang Garam Tbk or give up 24.2% of portfolio value over 90 days. Gudang Garam Tbk is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.0137% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Gudang, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
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Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gudang Garam is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Gudang Garam Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gudang Garam's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Gudang Garam Tbk, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Gudang Garam's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.2227

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Negative ReturnsGGRM

Estimated Market Risk

 2.01
  actual daily
17
83% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.45
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.22
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Gudang Garam is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Gudang Garam by adding Gudang Garam to a well-diversified portfolio.

Gudang Garam Fundamentals Growth

Gudang Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gudang Garam, and Gudang Garam fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gudang Stock performance.

About Gudang Garam Performance

By examining Gudang Garam's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Gudang Garam's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Gudang Garam is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
PT Gudang Garam Tbk produces and sells cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. PT Gudang Garam Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Suryaduta Investama. Gudang Garam operates under Tobacco classification in Indonesia and is traded on Jakarta Stock Exchange. It employs 34974 people.

Things to note about Gudang Garam Tbk performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gudang Garam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Gudang Garam Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gudang Garam Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Gudang Garam's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gudang Garam's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Gudang Garam's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gudang Garam's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gudang Garam's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gudang Garam's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gudang Garam's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gudang Garam's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Gudang Garam's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gudang Garam's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gudang Garam's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Gudang Stock

Gudang Garam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gudang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gudang with respect to the benefits of owning Gudang Garam security.