First Guaranty Bancshares Stock Performance

FGBI Stock  USD 7.76  0.14  1.77%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.56, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Guaranty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Guaranty is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, First Guaranty Bancshares has a negative expected return of -0.61%. Please make sure to confirm First Guaranty's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if First Guaranty Bancshares performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.77)
Five Day Return
(7.84)
Year To Date Return
(31.33)
Ten Year Return
(45.62)
All Time Return
30.36
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0335
Payout Ratio
0.3086
Last Split Factor
11:10
Forward Dividend Rate
0.26
Dividend Date
2025-03-31
 
First Guaranty dividend paid on 31st of December 2024
12/31/2024
1
First Guaranty Bancshares Loses -23.36 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner
01/06/2025
2
Should Value Investors Buy First Guaranty Bancshares Stock
01/17/2025
3
Chemung Financial Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
01/28/2025
4
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. 6.75 percent DEP PFD A goes ex dividend today
02/14/2025
5
Insider Trading
03/03/2025
6
Acquisition by Hood William K of 7755 shares of First Guaranty at 24.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/05/2025
7
Short Interest in First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. Grows By 32.4 percent - MarketBeat
03/17/2025
8
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. To Go Ex-Dividend on March 27th
03/25/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow286.5 M
  

First Guaranty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,158  in First Guaranty Bancshares on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (382.00) from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or give up 32.99% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Guaranty Bancshares is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.5859% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 32% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Guaranty is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.03 per unit of volatility.

First Guaranty Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Guaranty's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as First Guaranty Bancshares, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a First Guaranty's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1689

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Negative ReturnsFGBI

Estimated Market Risk

 3.59
  actual daily
32
68% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.61
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.17
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average First Guaranty is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of First Guaranty by adding First Guaranty to a well-diversified portfolio.

First Guaranty Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Guaranty, and First Guaranty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Guaranty Performance

By evaluating First Guaranty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Guaranty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Guaranty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Guaranty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Equity 0.05  0.05 

Things to note about First Guaranty Bancshares performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Guaranty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Guaranty Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Guaranty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Guaranty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. To Go Ex-Dividend on March 27th
Evaluating First Guaranty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Guaranty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Guaranty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Guaranty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Guaranty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Guaranty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Guaranty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Guaranty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Guaranty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Guaranty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Guaranty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure First Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of First Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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