Simmons First National Stock Market Value
| SFNC Stock | USD 20.39 0.40 2.00% |
| Symbol | Simmons |
Simmons First National Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simmons First. If investors know Simmons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simmons First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.008 | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 1.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.165 |
The market value of Simmons First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simmons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simmons First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simmons First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simmons First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simmons First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simmons First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simmons First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simmons First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Simmons First 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Simmons First's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Simmons First.
| 12/14/2024 |
| 03/14/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Simmons First on December 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Simmons First National or generate 0.0% return on investment in Simmons First over 90 days. Simmons First is related to or competes with Renasant, Sandy Spring, Home BancShares, Southside Bancshares,, and ST Bancorp. Simmons First National Corporation operates as the holding company for Simmons Bank that provides banking and other fina... More
Simmons First Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Simmons First's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Simmons First National upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.72 |
Simmons First Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Simmons First's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Simmons First's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Simmons First historical prices to predict the future Simmons First's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0022 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.26) |
Simmons First National Backtested Returns
Simmons First National owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which indicates the firm had a -0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Simmons First National exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Simmons First's Variance of 2.4, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Coefficient Of Variation of (622.62) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.98, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Simmons First returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Simmons First is expected to follow. At this point, Simmons First National has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to validate Simmons First's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Simmons First National performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.03 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Simmons First National has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Simmons First time series from 14th of December 2024 to 28th of January 2025 and 28th of January 2025 to 14th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Simmons First National price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Simmons First price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.6 |
Simmons First National lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Simmons First stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Simmons First's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Simmons First returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Simmons First has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Simmons First regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Simmons First stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Simmons First stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Simmons First stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Simmons First Lagged Returns
When evaluating Simmons First's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Simmons First stock have on its future price. Simmons First autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Simmons First autocorrelation shows the relationship between Simmons First stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Simmons First National.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Simmons First National offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Simmons First's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Simmons First National Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Simmons First National Stock:Check out Simmons First Correlation, Simmons First Volatility and Simmons First Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Simmons First. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Simmons First technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.