Simmons First National Stock Price Prediction

SFNC Stock  USD 20.39  0.11  0.54%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Simmons First's share price is below 30 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Simmons First National, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Simmons First's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Simmons First National, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Simmons First's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.008
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.338
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.584
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.826
Wall Street Target Price
24
Using Simmons First hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Simmons First National from the perspective of Simmons First response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Simmons First using Simmons First's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Simmons using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Simmons First's stock price.

Simmons First Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Simmons First's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Simmons. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Simmons First stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
21.34
Short Percent
0.0228
Short Ratio
4.28
Shares Short Prior Month
2.6 M
50 Day MA
21.8636

Simmons First National Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Simmons First's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Simmons. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Simmons can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Simmons First National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Simmons First's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Simmons First.

Simmons First Implied Volatility

    
  0.63  
Simmons First's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Simmons First National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Simmons First's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Simmons First stock will not fluctuate a lot when Simmons First's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Simmons First to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Simmons because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Simmons First after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Simmons contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Simmons First National will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Simmons First trading at USD 20.39, that is roughly USD 0.008029 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Simmons First's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Simmons First National options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Simmons First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3523.0124.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.6421.1322.62
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.9325.2027.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.340.360.39
Details

Simmons First After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Simmons First at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Simmons First or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Simmons First, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Simmons First Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Simmons First's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Simmons First's historical news coverage. Simmons First's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.90 and 21.88, respectively. We have considered Simmons First's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.39
20.39
After-hype Price
21.88
Upside
Simmons First is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Simmons First National is based on 3 months time horizon.

Simmons First Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Simmons First is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Simmons First backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Simmons First, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.49
 0.00  
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.39
20.39
0.00 
14,900  
Notes

Simmons First Hype Timeline

Simmons First National is at this time traded for 20.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Simmons is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Simmons First is about 528.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.35. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Simmons First National last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of February 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Simmons First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Simmons First Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Simmons First's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Simmons First's future price movements. Getting to know how Simmons First's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Simmons First may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Simmons First Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Simmons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Simmons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Simmons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Simmons First Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Simmons First stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Simmons First National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simmons First based on analysis of Simmons First hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Simmons First's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Simmons First's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03430.04030.03740.0191
Price To Sales Ratio3.133.33.72.36

Story Coverage note for Simmons First

The number of cover stories for Simmons First depends on current market conditions and Simmons First's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Simmons First is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Simmons First's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Simmons First Short Properties

Simmons First's future price predictability will typically decrease when Simmons First's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Simmons First National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Simmons First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Simmons First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding127.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 B

Complementary Tools for Simmons Stock analysis

When running Simmons First's price analysis, check to measure Simmons First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simmons First is operating at the current time. Most of Simmons First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simmons First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simmons First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simmons First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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