Simmons First National Stock Price Prediction
| SFNC Stock | USD 21.97 0.28 1.29% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.017 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.584 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.826 | Wall Street Target Price 24 |
Using Simmons First hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Simmons First National from the perspective of Simmons First response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Simmons First using Simmons First's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Simmons using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Simmons First's stock price.
Simmons First Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Simmons First's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Simmons. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Simmons First stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.1651 | Short Percent 0.0269 | Short Ratio 4.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 22.3622 |
Simmons First National Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Simmons First's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Simmons. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Simmons can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Simmons First National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Simmons First's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Simmons First.
Simmons First Implied Volatility | 0.78 |
Simmons First's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Simmons First National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Simmons First's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Simmons First stock will not fluctuate a lot when Simmons First's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Simmons First to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Simmons because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Simmons First after-hype prediction price | USD 21.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Simmons contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Simmons First National will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0488% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Simmons First trading at USD 21.97, that is roughly USD 0.0107 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Simmons First's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Simmons First National options at the current volatility level of 0.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Simmons |
Simmons First After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Simmons First at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Simmons First or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Simmons First, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Simmons First Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Simmons First's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Simmons First's historical news coverage. Simmons First's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.50 and 23.42, respectively. We have considered Simmons First's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Simmons First is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Simmons First National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Simmons First Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Simmons First is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Simmons First backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Simmons First, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.46 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.97 | 21.96 | 0.05 |
|
Simmons First Hype Timeline
Simmons First National is at this time traded for 21.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Simmons is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Simmons First is about 618.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.01. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Simmons First National last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of February 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Simmons First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Simmons First Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Simmons First's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Simmons First's future price movements. Getting to know how Simmons First's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Simmons First may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RNST | Renasant | 0.60 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.54 | (2.58) | 7.46 | |
| SASR | Sandy Spring Bancorp | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.35 | (3.04) | 10.75 | |
| HOMB | Home BancShares | 0.01 | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.44 | (2.06) | 7.71 | |
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares, | (0.25) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.81 | (3.12) | 8.55 | |
| STBA | ST Bancorp | 0.76 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.38 | (2.69) | 8.33 |
Simmons First Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Simmons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Simmons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Simmons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Simmons First Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Simmons First stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Simmons First National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simmons First based on analysis of Simmons First hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Simmons First's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Simmons First's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0343 | 0.0403 | 0.0379 | 0.0192 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.13 | 3.3 | 2.12 | 2.32 |
Story Coverage note for Simmons First
The number of cover stories for Simmons First depends on current market conditions and Simmons First's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Simmons First is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Simmons First's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Simmons First Short Properties
Simmons First's future price predictability will typically decrease when Simmons First's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Simmons First National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Simmons First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Simmons First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 126 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Simmons Stock analysis
When running Simmons First's price analysis, check to measure Simmons First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simmons First is operating at the current time. Most of Simmons First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simmons First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simmons First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simmons First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments |